Joaquin Niemann’s five-under 65 at windy Trump International Links, Doonbeg, including four closing birdies and effective low-ball flight control, has established a two-shot clubhouse lead and driven the dominant 90.5% implied probability in the first-round leader market. The Chilean navigated gusty conditions and slow play better than the field on day one of the Amgen Irish Open, while most contenders sit at three under or worse, with several still completing rounds. Adrian Meronk, Maximilian Steinlechner, and Renato Paratore remain threats if they finish strongly at their current positions, and any player still on course could post a matching or better score to force a tie or overtake. Late surges by in-form players or shifts in wind and light conditions represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGrant Forrest 100%
Joaquin Niemann 99.5%
Ashun Wu 99%
Guido Migliozzi 99%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Adrian Meronk
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Alejandro Del Rey
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Angel Ayora
No
Angel Hidalgo
No
Antoine Rozner
No
Ashun Wu
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Bernd Wiesberger
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Calum Hill
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Connor Syme
No
Cormac Sharvin
No
Daniel Bradbury
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Hillier
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Danny Willett
No
Darius van Driel
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Puig
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Erik van Rooyen
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Francesco Laporta
No
Francesco Molinari
No
Frankie Capan
No
Freddy Schott
No
Frederic Lacroix
No
Grant Forrest
No
Gregorio De Leo
No
Guido Migliozzi
No
Haotong Li
No
Harry Hall
No
Hennie Du Plessis
No
Ignacio Elvira
No
Ivan Cantero
No
J. C. Ritchie
No
Jack Senior
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jacques Kruyswijk
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Jeff Winther
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Jeong-Weon Ko
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joaquin Niemann
Yes
Joel Girrbach
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Catlin
No
Jon Rahm
No
Joost Luiten
No
Jordan Gumberg
No
Jordan Smith
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kota Kaneko
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Laurie Canter
No
Liam Nolan
No
Luke Donald
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Marcel Schneider
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Marcus Helligkilde
No
Mark Power
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matt Wallace
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Max Kennedy
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Michael Hollick
No
Mikael Lindberg
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Nicolai Hoejgaard
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Niklas Lemke
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
No
Oliver Lindell
No
Pablo Larrazabal
No
Padraig Harrington
No
Patrick Reed
No
Paul Waring
No
Grant Forrest 100%
Joaquin Niemann 99.5%
Ashun Wu 99%
Guido Migliozzi 99%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Adrian Meronk
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Alejandro Del Rey
No
Alex Fitzpatrick
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Angel Ayora
No
Angel Hidalgo
No
Antoine Rozner
No
Ashun Wu
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Bernd Wiesberger
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Brooks Koepka
No
Calum Hill
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Connor Syme
No
Cormac Sharvin
No
Daniel Bradbury
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Hillier
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Danny Willett
No
Darius van Driel
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Puig
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Erik van Rooyen
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Francesco Laporta
No
Francesco Molinari
No
Frankie Capan
No
Freddy Schott
No
Frederic Lacroix
No
Grant Forrest
No
Gregorio De Leo
No
Guido Migliozzi
No
Haotong Li
No
Harry Hall
No
Hennie Du Plessis
No
Ignacio Elvira
No
Ivan Cantero
No
J. C. Ritchie
No
Jack Senior
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jacques Kruyswijk
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Jayden Schaper
No
Jeff Winther
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Jeong-Weon Ko
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joaquin Niemann
Yes
Joel Girrbach
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Catlin
No
Jon Rahm
No
Joost Luiten
No
Jordan Gumberg
No
Jordan Smith
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kota Kaneko
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Laurie Canter
No
Liam Nolan
No
Luke Donald
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Marcel Schneider
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Marcus Helligkilde
No
Mark Power
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matt Wallace
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Max Kennedy
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Michael Hollick
No
Mikael Lindberg
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Nicolai Hoejgaard
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Niklas Lemke
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
No
Oliver Lindell
No
Pablo Larrazabal
No
Padraig Harrington
No
Patrick Reed
No
Paul Waring
No
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Joaquin Niemann’s five-under 65 at windy Trump International Links, Doonbeg, including four closing birdies and effective low-ball flight control, has established a two-shot clubhouse lead and driven the dominant 90.5% implied probability in the first-round leader market. The Chilean navigated gusty conditions and slow play better than the field on day one of the Amgen Irish Open, while most contenders sit at three under or worse, with several still completing rounds. Adrian Meronk, Maximilian Steinlechner, and Renato Paratore remain threats if they finish strongly at their current positions, and any player still on course could post a matching or better score to force a tie or overtake. Late surges by in-form players or shifts in wind and light conditions represent the main variables that could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes