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icon for ¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

icon for ¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?

8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

8% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lawsuits challenging the Truth API paid early-access service on Truth Social, launched August 1, 2026, remain in early procedural stages with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction rulings issued. The primary case, filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleges First Amendment violations from unequal access to presidential posts and seeks injunctive relief; plaintiffs moved for a preliminary injunction on August 31. A second suit filed September 17 in the District of Columbia raises similar constitutional and information-access claims. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and decisions typically span weeks to months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 resolution date for any order to take effect. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus that a court block is improbable within the window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,615
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Lawsuits challenging the Truth API paid early-access service on Truth Social, launched August 1, 2026, remain in early procedural stages with no hearings, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction rulings issued. The primary case, filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York, alleges First Amendment violations from unequal access to presidential posts and seeks injunctive relief; plaintiffs moved for a preliminary injunction on August 31. A second suit filed September 17 in the District of Columbia raises similar constitutional and information-access claims. Federal district court timelines for briefing, argument, and decisions typically span weeks to months, leaving limited opportunity before the October 31 resolution date for any order to take effect. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, supporting trader consensus that a court block is improbable within the window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.

A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.

The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,615
Fecha de finalización
1 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso anticipado de Truth Social de Trump por $100,000 antes del 31 de octubre?" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 8¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 8% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" es "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso anticipado de Truth Social de Trump por $100,000 antes del 31 de octubre?" con solo 8%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Los tribunales bloquean el plan de acceso temprano de $ 100,000 de Truth Social de Trump antes del 31 de octubre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.