Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Michael Bennet in the June 30 primary, while Victor Marx edged out Barbara Kirkmeyer for the Republican nod in a fragmented contest. With incumbent Jared Polis term-limited and Colorado maintaining its Democratic lean in statewide races, traders price the general election margin in the 20-30 point range based on structural fundamentals rather than head-to-head polling, which remains limited. Weiser’s profile as attorney general and recent debate appearances on issues such as wolf reintroduction highlight his institutional experience, while Marx’s nomination and independent Greg Lopez’s ballot access introduce variables that could compress or expand the spread depending on turnout and messaging in the final weeks. Absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before November, the market reflects consensus on a solid but not overwhelming Democratic performance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 20-25% 29%
Demócrata 25-30% 29%
Demócrata 30-35% 23%
Demócrata 35-40% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Victoria republicana
3%
Demócrata 0-5%
2%
Demócrata 5-10%
3%
Demócrata 10-15%
3%
Demócrata 15-20%
6%
Demócrata 20-25%
29%
Demócrata 25-30%
29%
Demócrata 30-35%
23%
Demócrata 35-40%
8%
Demócrata 40%+
1%
Demócrata 20-25% 29%
Demócrata 25-30% 29%
Demócrata 30-35% 23%
Demócrata 35-40% 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Victoria republicana
$236 Vol.
3%
Demócrata 0-5%
$208 Vol.
2%
Demócrata 5-10%
$206 Vol.
3%
Demócrata 10-15%
$261 Vol.
3%
Demócrata 15-20%
$216 Vol.
6%
Demócrata 20-25%
$1,709 Vol.
29%
Demócrata 25-30%
$3,057 Vol.
29%
Demócrata 30-35%
$832 Vol.
23%
Demócrata 35-40%
$470 Vol.
8%
Demócrata 40%+
$328 Vol.
1%
The 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Michael Bennet in the June 30 primary, while Victor Marx edged out Barbara Kirkmeyer for the Republican nod in a fragmented contest. With incumbent Jared Polis term-limited and Colorado maintaining its Democratic lean in statewide races, traders price the general election margin in the 20-30 point range based on structural fundamentals rather than head-to-head polling, which remains limited. Weiser’s profile as attorney general and recent debate appearances on issues such as wolf reintroduction highlight his institutional experience, while Marx’s nomination and independent Greg Lopez’s ballot access introduce variables that could compress or expand the spread depending on turnout and messaging in the final weeks. Absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before November, the market reflects consensus on a solid but not overwhelming Democratic performance.
The 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$7,523Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Michael Bennet in the June 30 primary, while Victor Marx edged out Barbara Kirkmeyer for the Republican nod in a fragmented contest. With incumbent Jared Polis term-limited and Colorado maintaining its Democratic lean in statewide races, traders price the general election margin in the 20-30 point range based on structural fundamentals rather than head-to-head polling, which remains limited. Weiser’s profile as attorney general and recent debate appearances on issues such as wolf reintroduction highlight his institutional experience, while Marx’s nomination and independent Greg Lopez’s ballot access introduce variables that could compress or expand the spread depending on turnout and messaging in the final weeks. Absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before November, the market reflects consensus on a solid but not overwhelming Democratic performance.
The 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,523Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Phil Weiser secured the Democratic nomination after defeating Michael Bennet in the June 30 primary, while Victor Marx edged out Barbara Kirkmeyer for the Republican nod in a fragmented contest. With incumbent Jared Polis term-limited and Colorado maintaining its Democratic lean in statewide races, traders price the general election margin in the 20-30 point range based on structural fundamentals rather than head-to-head polling, which remains limited. Weiser’s profile as attorney general and recent debate appearances on issues such as wolf reintroduction highlight his institutional experience, while Marx’s nomination and independent Greg Lopez’s ballot access introduce variables that could compress or expand the spread depending on turnout and messaging in the final weeks. Absent major shifts in national conditions or candidate-specific developments before November, the market reflects consensus on a solid but not overwhelming Democratic performance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará el candidato del Partido Demócrata la elección al Senado de Colorado de 2026 por un margen del 20%-25%?
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¿Ganará el candidato del Partido Demócrata las elecciones para gobernador de Arizona en 2026 por un margen del 6%-9%?
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¿Ganará el candidato del Partido Demócrata la elección para gobernador de Kansas en 2026 por un margen del 0% al 3%?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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