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icon for ¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?
Política·Brasil

¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?
Política·Brasil

¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?

Sí

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$91,769 Vol.

Sí

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$91,769 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on "No" at 95.6% for any STF justice impeachment before 2027 reflects entrenched procedural and institutional barriers.** The Senate holds 109 pending requests, concentrated on Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master scandal, yet President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance them. A 2025 Gilmar Mendes ruling further narrowed the path by limiting filings to the Prosecutor General and requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 votes). No STF justice has ever been removed via impeachment in Brazil's democratic history, and the full process—committee review, multiple floor votes, and defense—demands months that are unavailable before the January 2027 resolution window closes. Opposition proposals to bypass the Senate president or impose deadlines face resistance and would still confront the same supermajority threshold ahead of the October 2026 elections. Realistic shifts remain limited to a post-election Senate realignment enabling rapid rule changes and a PGR referral, though both face steep constitutional and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$91,769
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus on "No" at 95.6% for any STF justice impeachment before 2027 reflects entrenched procedural and institutional barriers.** The Senate holds 109 pending requests, concentrated on Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master scandal, yet President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance them. A 2025 Gilmar Mendes ruling further narrowed the path by limiting filings to the Prosecutor General and requiring a two-thirds Senate supermajority (54 votes). No STF justice has ever been removed via impeachment in Brazil's democratic history, and the full process—committee review, multiple floor votes, and defense—demands months that are unavailable before the January 2027 resolution window closes. Opposition proposals to bypass the Senate president or impose deadlines face resistance and would still confront the same supermajority threshold ahead of the October 2026 elections. Realistic shifts remain limited to a post-election Senate realignment enabling rapid rule changes and a PGR referral, though both face steep constitutional and political hurdles in the remaining timeframe.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.

Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count. Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$91,769
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Algún juez del STF de Brasil destituido por juicio político antes de 2027?" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 4¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?" ha generado $91.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 8, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?" es "¿Algún juez del STF de Brasil destituido por juicio político antes de 2027?" con solo 4%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Alguna justicia del STF de Brasil eliminada por juicio político antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.