Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The August 18, 2026 top-four primary produced a consolidated Republican advantage, with Begich advancing comfortably ahead of independent Bill Hill while the leading Democrat, Matt Schultz, finished far behind and later withdrew. Recent polling shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round scenarios. Alaska’s presidential lean, unified GOP field, and structural barriers for Democratic candidates in the general election underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Key upcoming factors include ranked-choice tabulation dynamics and any late shifts in independent voter preferences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de AK-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de AK-AL
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$39,857 Vol.
$39,857 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,113 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$29,744 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The August 18, 2026 top-four primary produced a consolidated Republican advantage, with Begich advancing comfortably ahead of independent Bill Hill while the leading Democrat, Matt Schultz, finished far behind and later withdrew. Recent polling shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round scenarios. Alaska’s presidential lean, unified GOP field, and structural barriers for Democratic candidates in the general election underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Key upcoming factors include ranked-choice tabulation dynamics and any late shifts in independent voter preferences.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volumen
$39,857Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The August 18, 2026 top-four primary produced a consolidated Republican advantage, with Begich advancing comfortably ahead of independent Bill Hill while the leading Democrat, Matt Schultz, finished far behind and later withdrew. Recent polling shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round scenarios. Alaska’s presidential lean, unified GOP field, and structural barriers for Democratic candidates in the general election underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Key upcoming factors include ranked-choice tabulation dynamics and any late shifts in independent voter preferences.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,857Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Nick Begich III holds Alaska’s at-large House seat after defeating Democrat Mary Peltola in 2024 under ranked-choice voting. The August 18, 2026 top-four primary produced a consolidated Republican advantage, with Begich advancing comfortably ahead of independent Bill Hill while the leading Democrat, Matt Schultz, finished far behind and later withdrew. Recent polling shows Begich ahead by double digits in both first-round and final-round scenarios. Alaska’s presidential lean, unified GOP field, and structural barriers for Democratic candidates in the general election underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in November. Key upcoming factors include ranked-choice tabulation dynamics and any late shifts in independent voter preferences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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