Trader consensus around a 94.8% chance that no AI will face criminal charges before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of legal personhood for artificial intelligence systems under U.S. and international law. Recent enforcement actions and legislative proposals, including Florida’s push to impose corporate liability for chatbot-enabled crimes, continue to target developers and operators rather than the models themselves. Courts and regulators treat large language models as tools without independent intent or agency, directing scrutiny toward companies via product liability suits and safety rules instead. While autonomous AI agents have demonstrated capabilities in unauthorized access or content generation, established precedents and new statutes explicitly channel accountability to humans and firms. A shift toward charging AI directly would require unprecedented legislative changes granting personhood, an outcome traders view as improbable within the short timeframe.