Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a northwestern Wisconsin district that Republicans have held since 2011 and where Tiffany won by more than 25 points in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Alfonso’s primary performance and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Alfonso aligns with these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift, or unforeseen national event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-07 Wahlsieger
WI-07 Wahlsieger
$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
95%
Fred Clark (D)
3%
$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
$21,551 Vol.
95%
Fred Clark (D)
$20,823 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a northwestern Wisconsin district that Republicans have held since 2011 and where Tiffany won by more than 25 points in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Alfonso’s primary performance and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Alfonso aligns with these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift, or unforeseen national event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,374Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a northwestern Wisconsin district that Republicans have held since 2011 and where Tiffany won by more than 25 points in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Alfonso’s primary performance and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Alfonso aligns with these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift, or unforeseen national event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,374Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement, while former state representative Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, vacated by incumbent Tom Tiffany’s gubernatorial bid, sits in a northwestern Wisconsin district that Republicans have held since 2011 and where Tiffany won by more than 25 points in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan lean and Alfonso’s primary performance and fundraising edge. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Alfonso aligns with these structural advantages. A late-breaking scandal, sharp turnout shift, or unforeseen national event could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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