Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries continue to press for a 90-day humanitarian truce as the first step toward a permanent ceasefire, civilian-led transition, and reconstruction in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces under Gen. Mohamed Dagalo. The SAF has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and formation of a single national army, while the RSF has signaled acceptance of truces in principle but maintains parallel governance structures and continues drone strikes. Recent US statements emphasize that neither force represents legitimate constitutional authority and have floated expanding a UN arms embargo, alongside renewed calls from IGAD and the UN Security Council for unconditional pauses to enable aid access amid ongoing fighting in North Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Darfur. A June prisoner exchange marked limited progress, yet battlefield advances and external support sustain the conflict three years after it began.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWaffenruhe im sudanesischen Bürgerkrieg bis...?
Waffenruhe im sudanesischen Bürgerkrieg bis...?
$119,429 Vol.
31. Dez. 2025
31. Dezember 2026
7%
$119,429 Vol.
31. Dezember 2026
$14,891 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries continue to press for a 90-day humanitarian truce as the first step toward a permanent ceasefire, civilian-led transition, and reconstruction in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces under Gen. Mohamed Dagalo. The SAF has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and formation of a single national army, while the RSF has signaled acceptance of truces in principle but maintains parallel governance structures and continues drone strikes. Recent US statements emphasize that neither force represents legitimate constitutional authority and have floated expanding a UN arms embargo, alongside renewed calls from IGAD and the UN Security Council for unconditional pauses to enable aid access amid ongoing fighting in North Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Darfur. A June prisoner exchange marked limited progress, yet battlefield advances and external support sustain the conflict three years after it began.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volumen
$119,429Enddatum
1. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries continue to press for a 90-day humanitarian truce as the first step toward a permanent ceasefire, civilian-led transition, and reconstruction in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces under Gen. Mohamed Dagalo. The SAF has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and formation of a single national army, while the RSF has signaled acceptance of truces in principle but maintains parallel governance structures and continues drone strikes. Recent US statements emphasize that neither force represents legitimate constitutional authority and have floated expanding a UN arms embargo, alongside renewed calls from IGAD and the UN Security Council for unconditional pauses to enable aid access amid ongoing fighting in North Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Darfur. A June prisoner exchange marked limited progress, yet battlefield advances and external support sustain the conflict three years after it began.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volumen
$119,429Enddatum
1. Jan. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States and the Quad countries continue to press for a 90-day humanitarian truce as the first step toward a permanent ceasefire, civilian-led transition, and reconstruction in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces under Gen. Mohamed Dagalo. The SAF has conditioned any agreement on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities and formation of a single national army, while the RSF has signaled acceptance of truces in principle but maintains parallel governance structures and continues drone strikes. Recent US statements emphasize that neither force represents legitimate constitutional authority and have floated expanding a UN arms embargo, alongside renewed calls from IGAD and the UN Security Council for unconditional pauses to enable aid access amid ongoing fighting in North Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Darfur. A June prisoner exchange marked limited progress, yet battlefield advances and external support sustain the conflict three years after it began.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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