Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) positioned for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF), consistent with exit polls and early Central Election Commission tallies placing LDPR near 9 percent and New People slightly lower. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist platform, and steady mid-single-digit to low-double-digit polling in the campaign period supported its edge over newer entrants like New People amid a tightly managed contest where Yabloko's exclusion narrowed viable options above the 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed trends, though final seat allocation incorporating single-mandate districts or any late adjustments in remaining protocols could theoretically shift the order if margins narrow substantially.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.0%
New People (NL) 1.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$249,715 Vol.
$249,715 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
2%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Jabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.0%
New People (NL) 1.9%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$249,715 Vol.
$249,715 Vol.

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%

New People (NL)
2%

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Jabloko
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 State Duma election show the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) positioned for third place behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF), consistent with exit polls and early Central Election Commission tallies placing LDPR near 9 percent and New People slightly lower. LDPR's established regional structures, nationalist platform, and steady mid-single-digit to low-double-digit polling in the campaign period supported its edge over newer entrants like New People amid a tightly managed contest where Yabloko's exclusion narrowed viable options above the 5 percent threshold. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed trends, though final seat allocation incorporating single-mandate districts or any late adjustments in remaining protocols could theoretically shift the order if margins narrow substantially.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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