The PA-07 contest between Democratic nominee Bob Brooks and Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie remains among the tightest House races, with the district’s R+1 partisan lean and recent history of sub-2-point margins sustaining trader focus on narrow victory ranges. Brooks secured the May primary with union backing in the Lehigh Valley and Bethlehem areas, while Mackenzie benefits from incumbency and a fundraising edge. Toss-up ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect limited polling and the seat’s sensitivity to turnout among working-class and suburban voters. National midterm dynamics and any late-October developments in candidate spending or messaging could shift the final margin before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDemokrat 6-9% 22.0%
Demokrat 0-3% 16%
Demokrat 3-6% 14%
Republikaner 0-3 % 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat 18%+
11%
Demokrat 15-18%
5%
Demokrat 12-15%
8%
Demokrat 9-12%
4%
Demokrat 6-9%
24%
Demokrat 3-6%
14%
Demokrat 0-3%
16%
Republikaner 0-3 %
12%
Republikaner 3-6%
11%
Republikaner 6 %+
11%
Demokrat 6-9% 22.0%
Demokrat 0-3% 16%
Demokrat 3-6% 14%
Republikaner 0-3 % 12%
NEU
NEU
3. Nov. 2026
Demokrat 18%+
$406 Vol.
11%
Demokrat 15-18%
$154 Vol.
5%
Demokrat 12-15%
$143 Vol.
8%
Demokrat 9-12%
$162 Vol.
4%
Demokrat 6-9%
$296 Vol.
24%
Demokrat 3-6%
$329 Vol.
14%
Demokrat 0-3%
$211 Vol.
16%
Republikaner 0-3 %
$161 Vol.
12%
Republikaner 3-6%
$199 Vol.
11%
Republikaner 6 %+
$757 Vol.
11%
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The PA-07 contest between Democratic nominee Bob Brooks and Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie remains among the tightest House races, with the district’s R+1 partisan lean and recent history of sub-2-point margins sustaining trader focus on narrow victory ranges. Brooks secured the May primary with union backing in the Lehigh Valley and Bethlehem areas, while Mackenzie benefits from incumbency and a fundraising edge. Toss-up ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect limited polling and the seat’s sensitivity to turnout among working-class and suburban voters. National midterm dynamics and any late-October developments in candidate spending or messaging could shift the final margin before November 3.
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
Volumen
$2,818Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The PA-07 contest between Democratic nominee Bob Brooks and Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie remains among the tightest House races, with the district’s R+1 partisan lean and recent history of sub-2-point margins sustaining trader focus on narrow victory ranges. Brooks secured the May primary with union backing in the Lehigh Valley and Bethlehem areas, while Mackenzie benefits from incumbency and a fundraising edge. Toss-up ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect limited polling and the seat’s sensitivity to turnout among working-class and suburban voters. National midterm dynamics and any late-October developments in candidate spending or messaging could shift the final margin before November 3.
The 2026 PA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 PA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,818Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 2:44 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The PA-07 contest between Democratic nominee Bob Brooks and Republican incumbent Ryan Mackenzie remains among the tightest House races, with the district’s R+1 partisan lean and recent history of sub-2-point margins sustaining trader focus on narrow victory ranges. Brooks secured the May primary with union backing in the Lehigh Valley and Bethlehem areas, while Mackenzie benefits from incumbency and a fundraising edge. Toss-up ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball reflect limited polling and the seat’s sensitivity to turnout among working-class and suburban voters. National midterm dynamics and any late-October developments in candidate spending or messaging could shift the final margin before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Bezirk PA-06 mit 20%-25% Vorsprung gewinnen?
28%
Ja
Wird der Kandidat der Demokratischen Partei die Wahl zum Repräsentantenhaus 2026 im Bezirk PA-08 mit 9 %-12 % gewinnen?
22%
Ja
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-01 House election by 0%-3%?
18%
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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