Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the New York 25th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Republican Virginia McIntyre's roughly $32,000. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator nominated without primary opposition, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Rochester-based district. Expert forecasts and historical results reinforce trader consensus around Morelle's position, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-25 Wahlsieger
NY-25 Wahlsieger
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Vol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the New York 25th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Republican Virginia McIntyre's roughly $32,000. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator nominated without primary opposition, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Rochester-based district. Expert forecasts and historical results reinforce trader consensus around Morelle's position, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$33,113Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the New York 25th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Republican Virginia McIntyre's roughly $32,000. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator nominated without primary opposition, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Rochester-based district. Expert forecasts and historical results reinforce trader consensus around Morelle's position, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,113Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Joseph Morelle holds a commanding lead in the New York 25th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Morelle secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.7 million compared to Republican Virginia McIntyre's roughly $32,000. McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator nominated without primary opposition, faces structural barriers typical for challengers in this Rochester-based district. Expert forecasts and historical results reinforce trader consensus around Morelle's position, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or candidate-specific developments could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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