George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the New York 16th congressional district race because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Latimer’s 71.5 percent victory as the incumbent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, leaving Cinquemani as the sole Republican nominee in a district encompassing parts of southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic since early 2025. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking national events, candidate health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout could still affect results, though such factors face significant structural headwinds in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-16 Wahlsieger
NY-16 Wahlsieger
$41,513 Vol.
$41,513 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
George Latimer (D)
97%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
1%
$41,513 Vol.
$41,513 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
George Latimer (D)
$30,937 Vol.
97%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
$10,577 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the New York 16th congressional district race because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Latimer’s 71.5 percent victory as the incumbent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, leaving Cinquemani as the sole Republican nominee in a district encompassing parts of southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic since early 2025. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking national events, candidate health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout could still affect results, though such factors face significant structural headwinds in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$41,513Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the New York 16th congressional district race because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Latimer’s 71.5 percent victory as the incumbent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, leaving Cinquemani as the sole Republican nominee in a district encompassing parts of southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic since early 2025. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking national events, candidate health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout could still affect results, though such factors face significant structural headwinds in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,513Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the New York 16th congressional district race because the area maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Latimer’s 71.5 percent victory as the incumbent in 2024. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, leaving Cinquemani as the sole Republican nominee in a district encompassing parts of southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Nonpartisan forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the contest Solid or Safe Democratic since early 2025. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts or campaign developments that would alter the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking national events, candidate health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout could still affect results, though such factors face significant structural headwinds in this environment.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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