Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Republican-leaning area covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties on Long Island’s South Shore. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 performance and the district’s voting patterns. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, and Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised with more than $3.4 million cash on hand versus Halpin’s roughly $462,000 raised—has reinforced the gap. As House Homeland Security Committee chairman, Garbarino maintains high visibility, including recent public statements on national security anniversaries. Traders price his re-election probability at 86.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages and limited competitive pressure ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-02 Wahlsieger
NY-02 Wahlsieger
$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
14%
$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Andrew Garbarino (R)
$7,164 Vol.
87%
Patrick Halpin (D)
$10,541 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Republican-leaning area covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties on Long Island’s South Shore. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 performance and the district’s voting patterns. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, and Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised with more than $3.4 million cash on hand versus Halpin’s roughly $462,000 raised—has reinforced the gap. As House Homeland Security Committee chairman, Garbarino maintains high visibility, including recent public statements on national security anniversaries. Traders price his re-election probability at 86.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages and limited competitive pressure ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$17,705Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Republican-leaning area covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties on Long Island’s South Shore. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 performance and the district’s voting patterns. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, and Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised with more than $3.4 million cash on hand versus Halpin’s roughly $462,000 raised—has reinforced the gap. As House Homeland Security Committee chairman, Garbarino maintains high visibility, including recent public statements on national security anniversaries. Traders price his re-election probability at 86.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages and limited competitive pressure ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,705Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a Republican-leaning area covering parts of Suffolk and Nassau counties on Long Island’s South Shore. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with his 2024 performance and the district’s voting patterns. Both candidates advanced unopposed through June 2026 primaries, and Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised with more than $3.4 million cash on hand versus Halpin’s roughly $462,000 raised—has reinforced the gap. As House Homeland Security Committee chairman, Garbarino maintains high visibility, including recent public statements on national security anniversaries. Traders price his re-election probability at 86.5 percent, reflecting the structural advantages and limited competitive pressure ahead of the November general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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