Chris Smith holds a commanding position in the NJ-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 30 points. As the incumbent since 1981 seeking a 24th term, Smith secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining substantial fundraising advantages, with over $500,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Rachel Peace's roughly $25,000–$35,000. Peace advanced from her primary with about 73% of the vote but faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues within the November 3, 2026, resolution window could theoretically alter dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNJ-04 Wahlsieger
NJ-04 Wahlsieger
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Chris Smith (R)
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
5%
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Chris Smith (R)
$6,168 Vol.
96%
Rachel Peace (D)
$12,973 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith holds a commanding position in the NJ-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 30 points. As the incumbent since 1981 seeking a 24th term, Smith secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining substantial fundraising advantages, with over $500,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Rachel Peace's roughly $25,000–$35,000. Peace advanced from her primary with about 73% of the vote but faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues within the November 3, 2026, resolution window could theoretically alter dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,141Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chris Smith holds a commanding position in the NJ-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 30 points. As the incumbent since 1981 seeking a 24th term, Smith secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining substantial fundraising advantages, with over $500,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Rachel Peace's roughly $25,000–$35,000. Peace advanced from her primary with about 73% of the vote but faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues within the November 3, 2026, resolution window could theoretically alter dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,141Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Smith holds a commanding position in the NJ-04 House race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+14 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins exceeding 30 points. As the incumbent since 1981 seeking a 24th term, Smith secured his party's nomination unopposed in the June 2026 primary while maintaining substantial fundraising advantages, with over $500,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Rachel Peace's roughly $25,000–$35,000. Peace advanced from her primary with about 73% of the vote but faces structural barriers in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus aligns with these factors, though late developments such as national political shifts or unforeseen candidate issues within the November 3, 2026, resolution window could theoretically alter dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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