Netanyahu’s active candidacy and ongoing campaign efforts anchor trader expectations that he will remain on the ballot through the October 27 Israeli legislative election. Recent polling shows his Likud party and right-wing bloc competitive for seats in the Knesset, though short of a clear majority, while public statements and party actions confirm he intends to lead Likud into the vote. No verified reports of health concerns, legal developments, or internal party pressure have emerged in the past month that would prompt withdrawal. The election timeline leaves minimal room for a late exit, and historical patterns show Netanyahu navigating similar challenges without stepping aside. Traders assign low probability to abrupt changes such as a sudden personal or coalition crisis that could still force reconsideration before election day.