Recent generic congressional ballot polls have shown Democrats leading Republicans by 7-9 points on average, with late September surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and Marquette Law School reflecting edges of 8 points or more among likely voters. This positioning stems from President Trump's approval ratings near 38-40 percent, combined with voter priorities on cost-of-living pressures and economic conditions. Higher Democratic enthusiasm and turnout intentions have further supported these trends ahead of the November election. Traders price the leading "Other" outcome highest amid uncertainty over the precise national margin, while specific Democratic ranges in the 6-12 point band draw substantial volume based on current polling averages and historical midterm swings against the president's party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Demokraten 8-10 % 27%
Demokraten 10-12 % 23%
Demokraten 6-8% 18%
Demokraten 4-6% 11%
$139,600 Vol.
$139,600 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokraten 16%+
1%
Demokraten 14-16%
1%
Demokraten 12-14%
7%
Demokraten 10-12 %
23%
Demokraten 8-10 %
27%
Demokraten 6-8%
18%
Demokraten 4-6%
11%
Demokraten 2-4%
6%
Demokraten 0-2%
2%
Republikaner 0-2 %
6%
Republikaner 2-4 %
3%
Republikaner 4-6%
1%
Republikaner 6 %+
1%
Demokraten 8-10 % 27%
Demokraten 10-12 % 23%
Demokraten 6-8% 18%
Demokraten 4-6% 11%
$139,600 Vol.
$139,600 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokraten 16%+
$3,786 Vol.
1%
Demokraten 14-16%
$3,593 Vol.
1%
Demokraten 12-14%
$4,873 Vol.
7%
Demokraten 10-12 %
$9,185 Vol.
23%
Demokraten 8-10 %
$14,518 Vol.
27%
Demokraten 6-8%
$15,896 Vol.
18%
Demokraten 4-6%
$7,080 Vol.
11%
Demokraten 2-4%
$16,407 Vol.
6%
Demokraten 0-2%
$20,082 Vol.
2%
Republikaner 0-2 %
$6,001 Vol.
6%
Republikaner 2-4 %
$30,429 Vol.
3%
Republikaner 4-6%
$3,768 Vol.
1%
Republikaner 6 %+
$3,982 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic congressional ballot polls have shown Democrats leading Republicans by 7-9 points on average, with late September surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and Marquette Law School reflecting edges of 8 points or more among likely voters. This positioning stems from President Trump's approval ratings near 38-40 percent, combined with voter priorities on cost-of-living pressures and economic conditions. Higher Democratic enthusiasm and turnout intentions have further supported these trends ahead of the November election. Traders price the leading "Other" outcome highest amid uncertainty over the precise national margin, while specific Democratic ranges in the 6-12 point band draw substantial volume based on current polling averages and historical midterm swings against the president's party.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$139,600Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent generic congressional ballot polls have shown Democrats leading Republicans by 7-9 points on average, with late September surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and Marquette Law School reflecting edges of 8 points or more among likely voters. This positioning stems from President Trump's approval ratings near 38-40 percent, combined with voter priorities on cost-of-living pressures and economic conditions. Higher Democratic enthusiasm and turnout intentions have further supported these trends ahead of the November election. Traders price the leading "Other" outcome highest amid uncertainty over the precise national margin, while specific Democratic ranges in the 6-12 point band draw substantial volume based on current polling averages and historical midterm swings against the president's party.
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for each party’s House candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes that party’s House candidates receive by the sum of all valid votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the election. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the vote totals as published by the US Clerk of the House. Any recount included in the Clerk of the House’s publication will be considered.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volumen
$139,600Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 18, 2026, 7:24 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent generic congressional ballot polls have shown Democrats leading Republicans by 7-9 points on average, with late September surveys from sources including the New York Times/Siena and Marquette Law School reflecting edges of 8 points or more among likely voters. This positioning stems from President Trump's approval ratings near 38-40 percent, combined with voter priorities on cost-of-living pressures and economic conditions. Higher Democratic enthusiasm and turnout intentions have further supported these trends ahead of the November election. Traders price the leading "Other" outcome highest amid uncertainty over the precise national margin, while specific Democratic ranges in the 6-12 point band draw substantial volume based on current polling averages and historical midterm swings against the president's party.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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