Recent cooling from a cold front and widespread rainfall across Sichuan has driven down Chengdu temperatures, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15–19°C on September 11 amid lingering cloud cover and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, though slight variations in timing of any clearing or residual moisture create divergence in minimum readings. Trader odds remain tightly bunched across the 17–20°C range because small forecast shifts in dew points or wind speed can push the daily low across resolution thresholds, while the notable probability mass on 24°C+ or 14°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in the final model runs before the observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 11. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Chengdu am 11. September?
14°C oder darunter 78%
24°C oder höher 76%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
78%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
22%
18°C
29%
19°C
30%
20°C
23%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
38%
24°C oder höher
76%
14°C oder darunter 78%
24°C oder höher 76%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
78%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
29%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold front and widespread rainfall across Sichuan has driven down Chengdu temperatures, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15–19°C on September 11 amid lingering cloud cover and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, though slight variations in timing of any clearing or residual moisture create divergence in minimum readings. Trader odds remain tightly bunched across the 17–20°C range because small forecast shifts in dew points or wind speed can push the daily low across resolution thresholds, while the notable probability mass on 24°C+ or 14°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in the final model runs before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from a cold front and widespread rainfall across Sichuan has driven down Chengdu temperatures, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15–19°C on September 11 amid lingering cloud cover and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, though slight variations in timing of any clearing or residual moisture create divergence in minimum readings. Trader odds remain tightly bunched across the 17–20°C range because small forecast shifts in dew points or wind speed can push the daily low across resolution thresholds, while the notable probability mass on 24°C+ or 14°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in the final model runs before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from a cold front and widespread rainfall across Sichuan has driven down Chengdu temperatures, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 15–19°C on September 11 amid lingering cloud cover and light northeast winds. Model consensus shows modest radiative cooling under mostly cloudy skies, though slight variations in timing of any clearing or residual moisture create divergence in minimum readings. Trader odds remain tightly bunched across the 17–20°C range because small forecast shifts in dew points or wind speed can push the daily low across resolution thresholds, while the notable probability mass on 24°C+ or 14°C or below reflects lingering uncertainty in the final model runs before the observation window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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