Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high in the low 30s Celsius on September 11, with multiple models converging on 30–31°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant mixing or moisture to moderate temperatures, pushing values above the 27.5°C historical average high for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with the latest official guidance showing dry, sunny conditions and no precipitation through the afternoon peak. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at primary stations, with any late model shifts in wind or boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 11. September?
31°C 66%
30°C 27%
32°C 9%
29°C 2%
NEU
$13,411 Vol.
NEU
$13,411 Vol.
11. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
27%
31°C
66%
32°C
9%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
31°C 66%
30°C 27%
32°C 9%
29°C 2%
NEU
$13,411 Vol.
NEU
$13,411 Vol.
11. Sep. 2026
25°C oder weniger
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$445 Vol.
1%
28°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$521 Vol.
2%
30°C
$4,518 Vol.
27%
31°C
$2,926 Vol.
66%
32°C
$1,125 Vol.
9%
33°C
$480 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
35°C oder höher
$535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high in the low 30s Celsius on September 11, with multiple models converging on 30–31°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant mixing or moisture to moderate temperatures, pushing values above the 27.5°C historical average high for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with the latest official guidance showing dry, sunny conditions and no precipitation through the afternoon peak. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at primary stations, with any late model shifts in wind or boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$13,411Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high in the low 30s Celsius on September 11, with multiple models converging on 30–31°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant mixing or moisture to moderate temperatures, pushing values above the 27.5°C historical average high for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with the latest official guidance showing dry, sunny conditions and no precipitation through the afternoon peak. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at primary stations, with any late model shifts in wind or boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,411Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are positioning Madrid for a daytime high in the low 30s Celsius on September 11, with multiple models converging on 30–31°C under light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This setup favors strong solar heating without significant mixing or moisture to moderate temperatures, pushing values above the 27.5°C historical average high for the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 31°C, aligns with the latest official guidance showing dry, sunny conditions and no precipitation through the afternoon peak. Resolution will hinge on the official maximum recorded at primary stations, with any late model shifts in wind or boundary-layer mixing the main variables that could alter the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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