**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature in the upper 70s on September 10, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a recent cold front that advected cooler, drier air into the region.** Persistent cloud cover and limited solar insolation have further capped daytime warming, keeping readings close to the late-summer climatological normal of roughly 78°F at O’Hare. Recent observations show the prior day’s high reached 80°F amid showers, but the post-frontal regime has produced steadier northerly winds that suppress further recovery. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 76–79°F brackets because ensemble guidance and local soundings indicate minimal upside risk from clearing or southerly return flow before peak heating. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary climate station, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the main remaining variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chicago am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Chicago am 10. September?
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 40%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
NEU
$10,591 Vol.
NEU
$10,591 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
69°F oder weniger
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
54%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F oder mehr
<1%
78-79°F 54%
76-77°F 40%
80-81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
NEU
$10,591 Vol.
NEU
$10,591 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
69°F oder weniger
$88 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$356 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$429 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$785 Vol.
4%
76-77°F
$2,509 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$3,726 Vol.
54%
80-81°F
$1,227 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$500 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$385 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$417 Vol.
<1%
88°F oder mehr
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature in the upper 70s on September 10, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a recent cold front that advected cooler, drier air into the region.** Persistent cloud cover and limited solar insolation have further capped daytime warming, keeping readings close to the late-summer climatological normal of roughly 78°F at O’Hare. Recent observations show the prior day’s high reached 80°F amid showers, but the post-frontal regime has produced steadier northerly winds that suppress further recovery. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 76–79°F brackets because ensemble guidance and local soundings indicate minimal upside risk from clearing or southerly return flow before peak heating. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary climate station, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$10,591Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature in the upper 70s on September 10, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a recent cold front that advected cooler, drier air into the region.** Persistent cloud cover and limited solar insolation have further capped daytime warming, keeping readings close to the late-summer climatological normal of roughly 78°F at O’Hare. Recent observations show the prior day’s high reached 80°F amid showers, but the post-frontal regime has produced steadier northerly winds that suppress further recovery. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 76–79°F brackets because ensemble guidance and local soundings indicate minimal upside risk from clearing or southerly return flow before peak heating. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary climate station, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the main remaining variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,591Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to a Chicago high temperature in the upper 70s on September 10, 2026, driven by northerly flow behind a recent cold front that advected cooler, drier air into the region.** Persistent cloud cover and limited solar insolation have further capped daytime warming, keeping readings close to the late-summer climatological normal of roughly 78°F at O’Hare. Recent observations show the prior day’s high reached 80°F amid showers, but the post-frontal regime has produced steadier northerly winds that suppress further recovery. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor the 76–79°F brackets because ensemble guidance and local soundings indicate minimal upside risk from clearing or southerly return flow before peak heating. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary climate station, with any late-day warming or measurement adjustments representing the main remaining variables.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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