**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Ankara am 15. September?
25°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
25°C 100.0%
19°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
19°C oder darunter
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Ja
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
**Forecast models and real-time observations have converged on a daily maximum near 25 °C for Ankara on 15 September 2026, driving near-certain market pricing at that level.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show afternoon peaks of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where September averages hover around 26 °C. Current surface readings from local stations already reflect this range, with temperatures now falling into the mid-teens Celsius overnight. Resolution hinges on the precise highest hourly or instantaneous value recorded by the primary meteorological network; minor upward revisions from localized heating or station-specific microclimates remain the main uncertainty, though current data and model agreement leave little room for outcomes outside 24–26 °C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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