Trader consensus on a 19°C high for Amsterdam on September 20 rests on real-time observations from Schiphol and nearby stations, where maximum readings reached or held at that level under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September conditions near the 18.6°C climatological average high without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flow. The narrow 100% market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of measurement variance at standard stations. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike from reduced cloud cover or revised station data exceeding 19°C by the resolution threshold, though current conditions and model agreement make such revisions improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Amsterdam am 20. September?
19°C 100%
14°C oder niedriger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$36,596 Vol.
$36,596 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100%
14°C oder niedriger <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$36,596 Vol.
$36,596 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
14°C oder niedriger
$655 Vol.
Nein
15°C
$105 Vol.
Nein
16°C
$121 Vol.
Nein
17°C
$1,277 Vol.
Nein
18°C
$11,445 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$12,262 Vol.
Ja
20°C
$6,166 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$3,024 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$491 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$944 Vol.
Nein
24°C oder höher
$105 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 19°C high for Amsterdam on September 20 rests on real-time observations from Schiphol and nearby stations, where maximum readings reached or held at that level under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September conditions near the 18.6°C climatological average high without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flow. The narrow 100% market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of measurement variance at standard stations. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike from reduced cloud cover or revised station data exceeding 19°C by the resolution threshold, though current conditions and model agreement make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$36,596Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 19°C high for Amsterdam on September 20 rests on real-time observations from Schiphol and nearby stations, where maximum readings reached or held at that level under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September conditions near the 18.6°C climatological average high without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flow. The narrow 100% market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of measurement variance at standard stations. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike from reduced cloud cover or revised station data exceeding 19°C by the resolution threshold, though current conditions and model agreement make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,596Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamAbwickler
0x69c47de9d...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on a 19°C high for Amsterdam on September 20 rests on real-time observations from Schiphol and nearby stations, where maximum readings reached or held at that level under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and regional models aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-September conditions near the 18.6°C climatological average high without significant warming from clear skies or southerly flow. The narrow 100% market-implied probability accounts for the low likelihood of measurement variance at standard stations. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-day spike from reduced cloud cover or revised station data exceeding 19°C by the resolution threshold, though current conditions and model agreement make such revisions improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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