Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises & policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
3%chance
0.1%
icon for October 31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.9%
icon for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
43%chance
1%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.8%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
5%chance
3.5%
icon for Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
2%chance
0.4%
icon for November 30
White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30?
12%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 46%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?
7%chance
0%
icon for November 30
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?
24%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?
5%chance
0.4%
icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
12%chance
1.3%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
4%chance
0.1%
icon for Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
16%chance
0.9%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
6%chance
0%
icon for Margo Martin
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
3%chance
0.1%
icon for October 31
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
1%chance
0.9%
icon for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
43%chance
1%
icon for Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
0%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.8%
icon for December 31
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
5%chance
3.5%
icon for Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
2%chance
0.4%
icon for November 30
White House press briefing room decommissioned by November 30?
12%chance
0%
icon for ↑ 46%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?
7%chance
0%
icon for November 30
Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?
24%chance
0%
icon for December 31, 2026
Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?
5%chance
0.4%
icon for John Cornyn - TX-Sen
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
12%chance
1.3%
market icon
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
2%chance
0.1%
icon for Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
Trump renames Lake Okeechobee to "Trump Lake" in 2026?
4%chance
0.1%
icon for Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?
16%chance
0.9%
icon for ↑ 44%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
6%chance
0%
Candidate icon

What else is in store for the Trump presidency?

See all polymarkets

polymarket.com/dashboards/trump