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Breaking World News & Predictions

Oct 26, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?

100%
98%
2
icon for Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?

98%
92%
3
icon for Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0%
84%
4
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?

89%
69%
5
icon for Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?

Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?

99%
66%
6
icon for Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?

Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?

80%
66%
7
icon for Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

15%
56%
8
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

67%
21%
9
icon for Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?

39%
15%
10
icon for Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?

17%
9%
11
icon for Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?

13%
8%
12
icon for Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

26%
8%
13
icon for Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

16%
7%
14
icon for Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?

61%
7%
15
icon for Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?

87%
7%
16
icon for France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

9%
7%
17
icon for Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?

21%
7%
18
icon for Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?

Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?

94%
6%
19
icon for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

41%
6%

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