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Breaking Tech News & Predictions

Sep 10, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?

Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?

0%
87%
2
icon for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?

0%
73%
3
icon for Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?

Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?

1%
53%
4
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?

27%
29%
5
icon for Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

56%
17%
6
icon for Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?

45%
15%
7
icon for Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?

Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?

74%
15%
8
icon for Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

56%
13%
9
icon for SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?

27%
13%
10
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?

67%
13%
11
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

75%
12%
12
icon for Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?

43%
12%
13
icon for Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

68%
9%
14
icon for Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?

7%
9%
15
icon for Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

28%
9%
16
icon for Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?

27%
9%
17
icon for Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?

4%
9%
18
icon for Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?

29%
9%
19
icon for US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

21%
7%
20
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

100%
7%
21
icon for Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?

22%
6%
22
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

46%
6%
23
icon for Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?

9%
5%
24
icon for Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

8%
5%