Recent IAEA board action on September 9, 2026, referring Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council for non-compliance—the first such step in 20 years—has reinforced trader expectations against a binding UNSC endorsement of any final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end. The U.S.-backed censure, opposed by Russia and China, followed the June 2026 memorandum of understanding’s collapse after its 60-day window expired without agreement on nuclear inspections, enriched uranium disposition, or sanctions relief. Ongoing hostilities, including U.S. strikes and Iranian responses, have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and IAEA verification suspended. These developments, combined with veto dynamics in the Council and Iran’s stated resistance to further preconditions, sustain the high implied probability that no endorsing resolution will pass before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
15% সম্ভাবনা
$228,363 Vol.
$228,363 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
15% সম্ভাবনা
$228,363 Vol.
$228,363 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent IAEA board action on September 9, 2026, referring Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council for non-compliance—the first such step in 20 years—has reinforced trader expectations against a binding UNSC endorsement of any final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end. The U.S.-backed censure, opposed by Russia and China, followed the June 2026 memorandum of understanding’s collapse after its 60-day window expired without agreement on nuclear inspections, enriched uranium disposition, or sanctions relief. Ongoing hostilities, including U.S. strikes and Iranian responses, have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and IAEA verification suspended. These developments, combined with veto dynamics in the Council and Iran’s stated resistance to further preconditions, sustain the high implied probability that no endorsing resolution will pass before the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
ভলিউম
$228,363শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Recent IAEA board action on September 9, 2026, referring Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council for non-compliance—the first such step in 20 years—has reinforced trader expectations against a binding UNSC endorsement of any final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end. The U.S.-backed censure, opposed by Russia and China, followed the June 2026 memorandum of understanding’s collapse after its 60-day window expired without agreement on nuclear inspections, enriched uranium disposition, or sanctions relief. Ongoing hostilities, including U.S. strikes and Iranian responses, have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and IAEA verification suspended. These developments, combined with veto dynamics in the Council and Iran’s stated resistance to further preconditions, sustain the high implied probability that no endorsing resolution will pass before the deadline.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$228,363শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Recent IAEA board action on September 9, 2026, referring Iran’s nuclear file to the UN Security Council for non-compliance—the first such step in 20 years—has reinforced trader expectations against a binding UNSC endorsement of any final U.S.-Iran deal by year-end. The U.S.-backed censure, opposed by Russia and China, followed the June 2026 memorandum of understanding’s collapse after its 60-day window expired without agreement on nuclear inspections, enriched uranium disposition, or sanctions relief. Ongoing hostilities, including U.S. strikes and Iranian responses, have kept the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed and IAEA verification suspended. These developments, combined with veto dynamics in the Council and Iran’s stated resistance to further preconditions, sustain the high implied probability that no endorsing resolution will pass before the deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা