Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon beyond the Litani River under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that established limited pilot zones for phased, conditions-based redeployment. The deal links any broader Israeli withdrawal to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and third-party confirmation of cleared military infrastructure, rather than fixed timelines. Recent statements from Israeli officials, including the IDF chief in September 2026, emphasize that the campaign continues until Hezbollah is removed from the area south of the river, while ongoing artillery strikes and demolitions signal sustained security operations. Lebanese authorities have reported partial LAF advances in pilot sites, yet implementation remains incremental amid Hezbollah objections and questions over enforcement capacity. Trader assessments of withdrawal probabilities hinge on progress in these verification steps and any escalation or diplomatic shifts within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$1,368,060 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
March 31
23%
October 31
6%
December 31
15%
$1,368,060 Vol.
September 30
$9,960 Vol.
1%
March 31
$136 Vol.
23%
October 31
$3,839 Vol.
6%
December 31
$512,908 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon beyond the Litani River under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that established limited pilot zones for phased, conditions-based redeployment. The deal links any broader Israeli withdrawal to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and third-party confirmation of cleared military infrastructure, rather than fixed timelines. Recent statements from Israeli officials, including the IDF chief in September 2026, emphasize that the campaign continues until Hezbollah is removed from the area south of the river, while ongoing artillery strikes and demolitions signal sustained security operations. Lebanese authorities have reported partial LAF advances in pilot sites, yet implementation remains incremental amid Hezbollah objections and questions over enforcement capacity. Trader assessments of withdrawal probabilities hinge on progress in these verification steps and any escalation or diplomatic shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,368,060শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon beyond the Litani River under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that established limited pilot zones for phased, conditions-based redeployment. The deal links any broader Israeli withdrawal to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and third-party confirmation of cleared military infrastructure, rather than fixed timelines. Recent statements from Israeli officials, including the IDF chief in September 2026, emphasize that the campaign continues until Hezbollah is removed from the area south of the river, while ongoing artillery strikes and demolitions signal sustained security operations. Lebanese authorities have reported partial LAF advances in pilot sites, yet implementation remains incremental amid Hezbollah objections and questions over enforcement capacity. Trader assessments of withdrawal probabilities hinge on progress in these verification steps and any escalation or diplomatic shifts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
ভলিউম
$1,368,060শেষ তারিখ
Sep 1, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon beyond the Litani River under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that established limited pilot zones for phased, conditions-based redeployment. The deal links any broader Israeli withdrawal to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and third-party confirmation of cleared military infrastructure, rather than fixed timelines. Recent statements from Israeli officials, including the IDF chief in September 2026, emphasize that the campaign continues until Hezbollah is removed from the area south of the river, while ongoing artillery strikes and demolitions signal sustained security operations. Lebanese authorities have reported partial LAF advances in pilot sites, yet implementation remains incremental amid Hezbollah objections and questions over enforcement capacity. Trader assessments of withdrawal probabilities hinge on progress in these verification steps and any escalation or diplomatic shifts within the resolution window.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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