The closely matched probabilities across the 275K-325K brackets for Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial contest stem from historical midterm turnout patterns and limited signals on general election mobilization. Recent general elections produced 292,000 ballots in 2022 and 373,000 in 2024, against roughly 500,000 registered voters. The August 11 Democratic primary drew higher-than-expected participation near 81,000 votes in a narrow win for Amanda Janoo over Aly Richards, hinting at base energy that could lift overall participation. Incumbent Phil Scott's solid polling lead and broad appeal may dampen urgency among some voters, while campaign spending and get-out-the-vote efforts by both sides remain key variables that could shift totals within the typical 290K-370K range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড300K-325K 37%
275K-300K 31%
325K-350K 17.1%
<225K 13.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Mar 31, 2027
<225K
14%
225K-250K
1%
250K-275K
8%
275K-300K
31%
300K-325K
37%
325K-350K
17%
350K+
6%
300K-325K 37%
275K-300K 31%
325K-350K 17.1%
<225K 13.9%
নতুন
নতুন
Mar 31, 2027
<225K
$226 Vol.
14%
225K-250K
$258 Vol.
1%
250K-275K
$490 Vol.
8%
275K-300K
$2,846 Vol.
31%
300K-325K
$595 Vol.
37%
325K-350K
$271 Vol.
17%
350K+
$241 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across the 275K-325K brackets for Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial contest stem from historical midterm turnout patterns and limited signals on general election mobilization. Recent general elections produced 292,000 ballots in 2022 and 373,000 in 2024, against roughly 500,000 registered voters. The August 11 Democratic primary drew higher-than-expected participation near 81,000 votes in a narrow win for Amanda Janoo over Aly Richards, hinting at base energy that could lift overall participation. Incumbent Phil Scott's solid polling lead and broad appeal may dampen urgency among some voters, while campaign spending and get-out-the-vote efforts by both sides remain key variables that could shift totals within the typical 290K-370K range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
ভলিউম
$4,927শেষ তারিখ
Apr 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched probabilities across the 275K-325K brackets for Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial contest stem from historical midterm turnout patterns and limited signals on general election mobilization. Recent general elections produced 292,000 ballots in 2022 and 373,000 in 2024, against roughly 500,000 registered voters. The August 11 Democratic primary drew higher-than-expected participation near 81,000 votes in a narrow win for Amanda Janoo over Aly Richards, hinting at base energy that could lift overall participation. Incumbent Phil Scott's solid polling lead and broad appeal may dampen urgency among some voters, while campaign spending and get-out-the-vote efforts by both sides remain key variables that could shift totals within the typical 290K-370K range.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$4,927শেষ তারিখ
Apr 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities across the 275K-325K brackets for Vermont's November 3 gubernatorial contest stem from historical midterm turnout patterns and limited signals on general election mobilization. Recent general elections produced 292,000 ballots in 2022 and 373,000 in 2024, against roughly 500,000 registered voters. The August 11 Democratic primary drew higher-than-expected participation near 81,000 votes in a narrow win for Amanda Janoo over Aly Richards, hinting at base energy that could lift overall participation. Incumbent Phil Scott's solid polling lead and broad appeal may dampen urgency among some voters, while campaign spending and get-out-the-vote efforts by both sides remain key variables that could shift totals within the typical 290K-370K range.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?
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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?
42%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?
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