**Traders price the Idaho U.S. Senate general election turnout around 600K–640K votes as the consensus outcome because the race features a safe Republican incumbent facing an independent challenger in a deeply red state with limited overall competitiveness.** Idaho’s registered voter base exceeds one million, and recent primary turnout reached roughly 30% in May 2026. Historical general election participation has ranged from the low 40s to mid-60s percent depending on the cycle, with the 2024 presidential year at approximately 63%. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee and subsequent consolidation behind the independent candidate have not produced polling or fundraising signals strong enough to suggest unusually high mobilization. Absent major national events, high-profile ballot measures, or competitive statewide races to drive engagement, current pricing reflects expectations of typical off-year participation adjusted for registration growth and subdued voter enthusiasm.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড600K-640K 50%
640K-680K 38%
520K-560K 12.8%
680K-720K 9%
<480K
3%
480K-520K
4%
520K-560K
13%
560K-600K
3%
600K-640K
50%
640K-680K
38%
680K-720K
9%
720K+
4%
600K-640K 50%
640K-680K 38%
520K-560K 12.8%
680K-720K 9%
<480K
3%
480K-520K
4%
520K-560K
13%
560K-600K
3%
600K-640K
50%
640K-680K
38%
680K-720K
9%
720K+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Traders price the Idaho U.S. Senate general election turnout around 600K–640K votes as the consensus outcome because the race features a safe Republican incumbent facing an independent challenger in a deeply red state with limited overall competitiveness.** Idaho’s registered voter base exceeds one million, and recent primary turnout reached roughly 30% in May 2026. Historical general election participation has ranged from the low 40s to mid-60s percent depending on the cycle, with the 2024 presidential year at approximately 63%. The July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee and subsequent consolidation behind the independent candidate have not produced polling or fundraising signals strong enough to suggest unusually high mobilization. Absent major national events, high-profile ballot measures, or competitive statewide races to drive engagement, current pricing reflects expectations of typical off-year participation adjusted for registration growth and subdued voter enthusiasm.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডসম্পর্কিত
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be less than 1,200,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming be between 190,000 and 210,000?
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