Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in U.S. Senate contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan's August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig and unified party backing, underpins trader consensus favoring her over Michele Tafoya. The open seat vacated by Sen. Tina Smith has drawn forecasts rating the race Likely Democratic, supported by polling averages showing Flanagan ahead by roughly four points among likely voters. No Republican has won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, a structural factor reinforced by Flanagan's strong performance among key demographics. Tafoya's primary win and emphasis on state governance issues provide a narrow path, but late-campaign developments such as turnout among independents, debate performances, or shifts tied to local scandals would need to produce an unusually large swing to alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$68,582 Vol.
$68,582 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$49,943 Vol.
92%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$18,639 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in U.S. Senate contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan's August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig and unified party backing, underpins trader consensus favoring her over Michele Tafoya. The open seat vacated by Sen. Tina Smith has drawn forecasts rating the race Likely Democratic, supported by polling averages showing Flanagan ahead by roughly four points among likely voters. No Republican has won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, a structural factor reinforced by Flanagan's strong performance among key demographics. Tafoya's primary win and emphasis on state governance issues provide a narrow path, but late-campaign developments such as turnout among independents, debate performances, or shifts tied to local scandals would need to produce an unusually large swing to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$68,582শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in U.S. Senate contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan's August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig and unified party backing, underpins trader consensus favoring her over Michele Tafoya. The open seat vacated by Sen. Tina Smith has drawn forecasts rating the race Likely Democratic, supported by polling averages showing Flanagan ahead by roughly four points among likely voters. No Republican has won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, a structural factor reinforced by Flanagan's strong performance among key demographics. Tafoya's primary win and emphasis on state governance issues provide a narrow path, but late-campaign developments such as turnout among independents, debate performances, or shifts tied to local scandals would need to produce an unusually large swing to alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$68,582শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's longstanding Democratic lean in U.S. Senate contests, combined with Peggy Flanagan's August primary victory over Rep. Angie Craig and unified party backing, underpins trader consensus favoring her over Michele Tafoya. The open seat vacated by Sen. Tina Smith has drawn forecasts rating the race Likely Democratic, supported by polling averages showing Flanagan ahead by roughly four points among likely voters. No Republican has won a Minnesota Senate seat since 2002, a structural factor reinforced by Flanagan's strong performance among key demographics. Tafoya's primary win and emphasis on state governance issues provide a narrow path, but late-campaign developments such as turnout among independents, debate performances, or shifts tied to local scandals would need to produce an unusually large swing to alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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