Traders assign a 97.7% probability against Jeffrey Epstein being confirmed alive before 2027 due to the official determination of his death by suicide in August 2019 at the Metropolitan Correctional Center, backed by autopsy findings, multiple DOJ reviews, and a detailed 2026 New York Times investigation that attributed the outcome to institutional failures rather than any cover-up or survival. Recent file releases and congressional probes have centered on associates and trafficking networks without producing verifiable evidence of his continued existence. Persistent online rumors have been repeatedly debunked. Scenarios that could still alter the outlook before the end of 2026 include authenticated new forensic data, DNA matches, or a substantiated public sighting.