Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, his long tenure since 2009, and comfortable primary win. With the Democratic nominee having withdrawn in July and no major party alternative on the ballot, traders view Risch's reelection as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Achilles, running as an independent with notable fundraising and some head-to-head polling support, faces structural barriers including Idaho's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles and Risch's substantial campaign resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-breaking development affecting the incumbent or unusually high independent turnout, though most forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Republican.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R) 95.0%
Todd Achilles (I) 3.0%
Democrat 1.8%
$37,936 Vol.
$37,936 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
95%
Todd Achilles (I)
3%
Democrat
2%
Jim Risch (R) 95.0%
Todd Achilles (I) 3.0%
Democrat 1.8%
$37,936 Vol.
$37,936 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$21,395 Vol.
95%
Todd Achilles (I)
$537 Vol.
3%
Democrat
$16,004 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, his long tenure since 2009, and comfortable primary win. With the Democratic nominee having withdrawn in July and no major party alternative on the ballot, traders view Risch's reelection as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Achilles, running as an independent with notable fundraising and some head-to-head polling support, faces structural barriers including Idaho's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles and Risch's substantial campaign resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-breaking development affecting the incumbent or unusually high independent turnout, though most forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ভলিউম
$37,936শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, his long tenure since 2009, and comfortable primary win. With the Democratic nominee having withdrawn in July and no major party alternative on the ballot, traders view Risch's reelection as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Achilles, running as an independent with notable fundraising and some head-to-head polling support, faces structural barriers including Idaho's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles and Risch's substantial campaign resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-breaking development affecting the incumbent or unusually high independent turnout, though most forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$37,936শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's strong Republican lean, his long tenure since 2009, and comfortable primary win. With the Democratic nominee having withdrawn in July and no major party alternative on the ballot, traders view Risch's reelection as highly probable ahead of the November 3 general election. Achilles, running as an independent with notable fundraising and some head-to-head polling support, faces structural barriers including Idaho's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles and Risch's substantial campaign resources. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant late-breaking development affecting the incumbent or unusually high independent turnout, though most forecasts rate the contest as safe or solid Republican.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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