Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 23 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by increasing cloud cover and light to moderate rain that will limit surface heating. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds associated with a passing frontal system are the main factors suppressing daytime peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. Small differences in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–28°C, as even modest variations in cloud thickness can shift the daily high by 2–3°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 23?
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
12%
23°C
17%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 25%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
12%
23°C
17%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a maximum temperature in Chengdu on September 23 most likely between 24–26°C, driven by increasing cloud cover and light to moderate rain that will limit surface heating. Persistent low-level moisture and reduced insolation from stratiform clouds associated with a passing frontal system are the main factors suppressing daytime peaks compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week. Small differences in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation across model runs explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24–28°C, as even modest variations in cloud thickness can shift the daily high by 2–3°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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