**Trader consensus has converged on a 94-95°F daily maximum for Austin on September 23 because official observations from the primary reporting station aligned precisely with that bin.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf, produced afternoon highs several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89°F. Model guidance and real-time mesonet data throughout the day showed peak temperatures stabilizing in the mid-90s under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with heat indices briefly exceeding 100°F. The 100% market-implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game confirmation that the final NWS-verified maximum fell squarely in this narrow range, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 23?
94-95°F 99.9%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,658 Vol.
$28,658 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 99.9%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$28,658 Vol.
$28,658 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
89°F or below
$5,565 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,305 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,410 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$7,138 Vol.
100%
96-97°F
$5,166 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,796 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,014 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$833 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$1,242 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 94-95°F daily maximum for Austin on September 23 because official observations from the primary reporting station aligned precisely with that bin.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf, produced afternoon highs several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89°F. Model guidance and real-time mesonet data throughout the day showed peak temperatures stabilizing in the mid-90s under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with heat indices briefly exceeding 100°F. The 100% market-implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game confirmation that the final NWS-verified maximum fell squarely in this narrow range, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,658শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 94-95°F daily maximum for Austin on September 23 because official observations from the primary reporting station aligned precisely with that bin.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf, produced afternoon highs several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89°F. Model guidance and real-time mesonet data throughout the day showed peak temperatures stabilizing in the mid-90s under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with heat indices briefly exceeding 100°F. The 100% market-implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game confirmation that the final NWS-verified maximum fell squarely in this narrow range, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$28,658শেষ তারিখ
Sep 23, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 21, 2026, 3:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47de9d...**Trader consensus has converged on a 94-95°F daily maximum for Austin on September 23 because official observations from the primary reporting station aligned precisely with that bin.** Persistent late-summer warmth, driven by a strong upper-level ridge and above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the Gulf, produced afternoon highs several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 89°F. Model guidance and real-time mesonet data throughout the day showed peak temperatures stabilizing in the mid-90s under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, with heat indices briefly exceeding 100°F. The 100% market-implied probability reflects skin-in-the-game confirmation that the final NWS-verified maximum fell squarely in this narrow range, leaving negligible room for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could realistically alter resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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