**Persistent southerly flow and strong solar heating under a stable high-pressure pattern are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 100°F in Austin on September 14, 2026.** Official guidance from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office projects mostly sunny skies with highs around 100°F and heat indices up to 108°F amid dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances below 10-20%. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 98-101°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around the upper 90s to low 100s given the ongoing heat wave and absence of cooling fronts. Historical September averages near 91°F and a record of 101°F on the date provide context, while the lack of model spread or incoming disturbances supports the current implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 14?
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
$12,532 Vol.
$12,532 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 47%
100-101°F 36%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
$12,532 Vol.
$12,532 Vol.
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
47%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southerly flow and strong solar heating under a stable high-pressure pattern are driving National Weather Service forecasts for a high near 100°F in Austin on September 14, 2026.** Official guidance from the Austin/San Antonio NWS office projects mostly sunny skies with highs around 100°F and heat indices up to 108°F amid dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with recent model runs showing minimal cloud cover or precipitation chances below 10-20%. This aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on 98-101°F bins, reflecting trader consensus around the upper 90s to low 100s given the ongoing heat wave and absence of cooling fronts. Historical September averages near 91°F and a record of 101°F on the date provide context, while the lack of model spread or incoming disturbances supports the current implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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