Persistent high-pressure ridging across Central Texas drove unseasonably warm conditions on September 13, 2026, with official observations recording a daily high of 101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport amid dew points in the 70s that boosted heat indices above 105°F. This aligned with a prolonged heat wave featuring over 40 triple-digit days year-to-date, consistent with model guidance from NOAA and local analyses showing minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 100-101°F bin reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Shifts could occur only from post-event measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though historical records and multiple reporting sources corroborate the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Austin on September 13?
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$17,853 Vol.
$17,853 Vol.
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$17,853 Vol.
$17,853 Vol.
89°F or below
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 11, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...ফলাফল প্রস্তাবিত: No
কোনো ডিসপিউট নেই
চূড়ান্ত ফলাফল: No
Persistent high-pressure ridging across Central Texas drove unseasonably warm conditions on September 13, 2026, with official observations recording a daily high of 101°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport amid dew points in the 70s that boosted heat indices above 105°F. This aligned with a prolonged heat wave featuring over 40 triple-digit days year-to-date, consistent with model guidance from NOAA and local analyses showing minimal cloud cover and southerly flow limiting cooling. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for the 100-101°F bin reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Shifts could occur only from post-event measurement revisions or station-specific discrepancies, though historical records and multiple reporting sources corroborate the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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