Kathy Castor holds a trader consensus edge in the FL-14 race due to her long incumbency, strong local name recognition in Hillsborough County, and consistent fundraising advantage, which have allowed her to outperform partisan shifts in prior cycles. The August 2026 Republican primary elevated Mike Beltran as nominee after he secured 45.6% against a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the May 2026 redistricting that moved the seat into more Republican-leaning territory where Trump carried roughly 55% in 2024. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk reflect the competitive dynamics, with recent union endorsements and local issue advocacy bolstering Castor while National Republican Congressional Committee support has boosted Beltran’s profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$42,164 Vol.
$42,164 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
35%
$42,164 Vol.
$42,164 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kathy Castor (D)
$22,070 Vol.
64%
Mike Beltran (R)
$20,094 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds a trader consensus edge in the FL-14 race due to her long incumbency, strong local name recognition in Hillsborough County, and consistent fundraising advantage, which have allowed her to outperform partisan shifts in prior cycles. The August 2026 Republican primary elevated Mike Beltran as nominee after he secured 45.6% against a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the May 2026 redistricting that moved the seat into more Republican-leaning territory where Trump carried roughly 55% in 2024. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk reflect the competitive dynamics, with recent union endorsements and local issue advocacy bolstering Castor while National Republican Congressional Committee support has boosted Beltran’s profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
ভলিউম
$42,164শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor holds a trader consensus edge in the FL-14 race due to her long incumbency, strong local name recognition in Hillsborough County, and consistent fundraising advantage, which have allowed her to outperform partisan shifts in prior cycles. The August 2026 Republican primary elevated Mike Beltran as nominee after he secured 45.6% against a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the May 2026 redistricting that moved the seat into more Republican-leaning territory where Trump carried roughly 55% in 2024. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk reflect the competitive dynamics, with recent union endorsements and local issue advocacy bolstering Castor while National Republican Congressional Committee support has boosted Beltran’s profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$42,164শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor holds a trader consensus edge in the FL-14 race due to her long incumbency, strong local name recognition in Hillsborough County, and consistent fundraising advantage, which have allowed her to outperform partisan shifts in prior cycles. The August 2026 Republican primary elevated Mike Beltran as nominee after he secured 45.6% against a crowded field, positioning him to capitalize on the May 2026 redistricting that moved the seat into more Republican-leaning territory where Trump carried roughly 55% in 2024. Mixed race ratings from outlets such as Cook, Sabato, and Decision Desk reflect the competitive dynamics, with recent union endorsements and local issue advocacy bolstering Castor while National Republican Congressional Committee support has boosted Beltran’s profile ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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