China’s 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range due to ongoing structural headwinds offset by targeted policy support and resilient external demand. Half-year data through mid-2026 showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 slowing to 4.3% amid soft consumption and property sector weakness, though high-tech manufacturing, exports, and infrastructure spending provided key offsets. Institutions including BofA, ING, the World Bank, and IMF project outcomes between 4.4% and 4.6%, aligning with the government’s pragmatic 4.5–5.0% target under the new Five-Year Plan and continued fiscal flexibility. Recent tariff easing with the US has modestly bolstered trade prospects without altering the medium-term deceleration trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this broad analytical alignment around moderate growth rather than sharper slowdowns or rebounds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.4%
$898,218 Vol.
$898,218 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
9.0%+ 1.4%
8.0–9.0% 1.4%
$898,218 Vol.
$898,218 Vol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$68,051 Vol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,379 Vol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,830 Vol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,476 Vol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,330 Vol.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 Vol.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 Vol.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 Vol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,234 Vol.
1%
9.0%+
$116,748 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range due to ongoing structural headwinds offset by targeted policy support and resilient external demand. Half-year data through mid-2026 showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 slowing to 4.3% amid soft consumption and property sector weakness, though high-tech manufacturing, exports, and infrastructure spending provided key offsets. Institutions including BofA, ING, the World Bank, and IMF project outcomes between 4.4% and 4.6%, aligning with the government’s pragmatic 4.5–5.0% target under the new Five-Year Plan and continued fiscal flexibility. Recent tariff easing with the US has modestly bolstered trade prospects without altering the medium-term deceleration trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this broad analytical alignment around moderate growth rather than sharper slowdowns or rebounds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
ভলিউম
$898,218শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China’s 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range due to ongoing structural headwinds offset by targeted policy support and resilient external demand. Half-year data through mid-2026 showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 slowing to 4.3% amid soft consumption and property sector weakness, though high-tech manufacturing, exports, and infrastructure spending provided key offsets. Institutions including BofA, ING, the World Bank, and IMF project outcomes between 4.4% and 4.6%, aligning with the government’s pragmatic 4.5–5.0% target under the new Five-Year Plan and continued fiscal flexibility. Recent tariff easing with the US has modestly bolstered trade prospects without altering the medium-term deceleration trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this broad analytical alignment around moderate growth rather than sharper slowdowns or rebounds.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$898,218শেষ তারিখ
Jan 31, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...China’s 2026 GDP growth consensus centers on the 4.0–5.0% range due to ongoing structural headwinds offset by targeted policy support and resilient external demand. Half-year data through mid-2026 showed 4.7% expansion, with Q2 slowing to 4.3% amid soft consumption and property sector weakness, though high-tech manufacturing, exports, and infrastructure spending provided key offsets. Institutions including BofA, ING, the World Bank, and IMF project outcomes between 4.4% and 4.6%, aligning with the government’s pragmatic 4.5–5.0% target under the new Five-Year Plan and continued fiscal flexibility. Recent tariff easing with the US has modestly bolstered trade prospects without altering the medium-term deceleration trajectory. Trader pricing reflects this broad analytical alignment around moderate growth rather than sharper slowdowns or rebounds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা