Luz Rivas holds an 88% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters. Rivas secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, advancing alongside Angélica María Dueñas, who received 25%. Rivas maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised compared to Dueñas’s roughly $37,000 as of mid-2026, alongside established name recognition from her prior 69.8% general election win in 2024. With the November 3 contest approaching, trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan lean and Rivas’s primary margin, though Dueñas’s 7.8% odds leave room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Luz Rivas
$1,039 Vol.
89%
Angélica María Dueñas
$326 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 88% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters. Rivas secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, advancing alongside Angélica María Dueñas, who received 25%. Rivas maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised compared to Dueñas’s roughly $37,000 as of mid-2026, alongside established name recognition from her prior 69.8% general election win in 2024. With the November 3 contest approaching, trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan lean and Rivas’s primary margin, though Dueñas’s 7.8% odds leave room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,365শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Luz Rivas holds an 88% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters. Rivas secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, advancing alongside Angélica María Dueñas, who received 25%. Rivas maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised compared to Dueñas’s roughly $37,000 as of mid-2026, alongside established name recognition from her prior 69.8% general election win in 2024. With the November 3 contest approaching, trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan lean and Rivas’s primary margin, though Dueñas’s 7.8% odds leave room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,365শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Luz Rivas holds an 88% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market, reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district rated Safe or Solid Democratic by forecasters. Rivas secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with 51% of the vote, advancing alongside Angélica María Dueñas, who received 25%. Rivas maintains a substantial fundraising edge, reporting over $670,000 raised compared to Dueñas’s roughly $37,000 as of mid-2026, alongside established name recognition from her prior 69.8% general election win in 2024. With the November 3 contest approaching, trader consensus aligns with the district’s partisan lean and Rivas’s primary margin, though Dueñas’s 7.8% odds leave room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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