The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act made permanent multiple TCJA business provisions, including full expensing and R&D incentives, without reducing the corporate rate below 21 percent. With Republicans holding narrow congressional majorities, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and pre-midterm priorities rather than fresh rate legislation. The compressed timeline before December 2026 leaves limited floor time or reconciliation capacity for additional corporate changes, producing trader consensus around a low probability of a headline cut occurring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
9% 概率
$16,849 交易量
$16,849 交易量
2026-12-31
是
9% 概率
$16,849 交易量
$16,849 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act made permanent multiple TCJA business provisions, including full expensing and R&D incentives, without reducing the corporate rate below 21 percent. With Republicans holding narrow congressional majorities, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and pre-midterm priorities rather than fresh rate legislation. The compressed timeline before December 2026 leaves limited floor time or reconciliation capacity for additional corporate changes, producing trader consensus around a low probability of a headline cut occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
交易量
$16,849结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act made permanent multiple TCJA business provisions, including full expensing and R&D incentives, without reducing the corporate rate below 21 percent. With Republicans holding narrow congressional majorities, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and pre-midterm priorities rather than fresh rate legislation. The compressed timeline before December 2026 leaves limited floor time or reconciliation capacity for additional corporate changes, producing trader consensus around a low probability of a headline cut occurring.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
交易量
$16,849结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETThe 2025 enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act made permanent multiple TCJA business provisions, including full expensing and R&D incentives, without reducing the corporate rate below 21 percent. With Republicans holding narrow congressional majorities, attention has turned to tariff policy, implementation, and pre-midterm priorities rather than fresh rate legislation. The compressed timeline before December 2026 leaves limited floor time or reconciliation capacity for additional corporate changes, producing trader consensus around a low probability of a headline cut occurring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题