Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent 60-vote cloture requirements on most legislation, prompting repeated calls from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster for priorities such as the SAVE America Act. Majority Leader John Thune has resisted full elimination, citing long-term risks to the minority party's leverage and noting that prior nuclear option uses have been limited to nomination confirmations, including recent precedent changes allowing grouped votes on executive branch and ambassador nominees. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and potential funding deadlines in September, GOP senators have prioritized targeted procedural adjustments over a wholesale rules change that could invite retaliation. Trader assessments reflect this institutional caution and narrow path to consensus within the caucus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$560,808 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
20%
$560,808 交易量
2026年12月31日
$5,846 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent 60-vote cloture requirements on most legislation, prompting repeated calls from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster for priorities such as the SAVE America Act. Majority Leader John Thune has resisted full elimination, citing long-term risks to the minority party's leverage and noting that prior nuclear option uses have been limited to nomination confirmations, including recent precedent changes allowing grouped votes on executive branch and ambassador nominees. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and potential funding deadlines in September, GOP senators have prioritized targeted procedural adjustments over a wholesale rules change that could invite retaliation. Trader assessments reflect this institutional caution and narrow path to consensus within the caucus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$560,808结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent 60-vote cloture requirements on most legislation, prompting repeated calls from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster for priorities such as the SAVE America Act. Majority Leader John Thune has resisted full elimination, citing long-term risks to the minority party's leverage and noting that prior nuclear option uses have been limited to nomination confirmations, including recent precedent changes allowing grouped votes on executive branch and ambassador nominees. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and potential funding deadlines in September, GOP senators have prioritized targeted procedural adjustments over a wholesale rules change that could invite retaliation. Trader assessments reflect this institutional caution and narrow path to consensus within the caucus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
交易量
$560,808结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETSenate Republicans hold a 53-seat majority but face persistent 60-vote cloture requirements on most legislation, prompting repeated calls from President Trump to invoke the nuclear option and eliminate the legislative filibuster for priorities such as the SAVE America Act. Majority Leader John Thune has resisted full elimination, citing long-term risks to the minority party's leverage and noting that prior nuclear option uses have been limited to nomination confirmations, including recent precedent changes allowing grouped votes on executive branch and ambassador nominees. With midterms approaching in November 2026 and potential funding deadlines in September, GOP senators have prioritized targeted procedural adjustments over a wholesale rules change that could invite retaliation. Trader assessments reflect this institutional caution and narrow path to consensus within the caucus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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