Banksy’s established rhythm of releasing multiple authenticated street artworks annually, including confirmed London murals in September and December 2025 plus a May 2025 Marseille piece and an April 2026 statue installation, underpins the 76.5% market-implied odds for at least one new mural by year-end. Traders weigh the roughly three months remaining against his pattern of event-driven drops—often tied to holidays, political moments, or London appearances—along with reliable Instagram confirmations that have authenticated recent works. While no fresh 2026 murals have surfaced yet, the artist’s unpredictable but productive output and history of surprise interventions create strong consensus for another authenticated stencil or installation before December 31, though the anonymous nature leaves room for timing shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
77% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
77% 概率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.Banksy’s established rhythm of releasing multiple authenticated street artworks annually, including confirmed London murals in September and December 2025 plus a May 2025 Marseille piece and an April 2026 statue installation, underpins the 76.5% market-implied odds for at least one new mural by year-end. Traders weigh the roughly three months remaining against his pattern of event-driven drops—often tied to holidays, political moments, or London appearances—along with reliable Instagram confirmations that have authenticated recent works. While no fresh 2026 murals have surfaced yet, the artist’s unpredictable but productive output and history of surprise interventions create strong consensus for another authenticated stencil or installation before December 31, though the anonymous nature leaves room for timing shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
交易量
$2,929结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 3:43 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.Banksy’s established rhythm of releasing multiple authenticated street artworks annually, including confirmed London murals in September and December 2025 plus a May 2025 Marseille piece and an April 2026 statue installation, underpins the 76.5% market-implied odds for at least one new mural by year-end. Traders weigh the roughly three months remaining against his pattern of event-driven drops—often tied to holidays, political moments, or London appearances—along with reliable Instagram confirmations that have authenticated recent works. While no fresh 2026 murals have surfaced yet, the artist’s unpredictable but productive output and history of surprise interventions create strong consensus for another authenticated stencil or installation before December 31, though the anonymous nature leaves room for timing shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Banksy authenticates a new mural or outdoor street artwork between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
Only works created between market creation and December 31, 2026 will qualify. Artworks created before this market's timeframe but revealed or posted within this market's timeframe will not qualify.
A qualifying mural or street artwork must be outdoors on a structure or surface other than a canvas. Paintings on canvases or other surfaces designed for art, such as paper or board, will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to confirmation from official Banksy channels including his official Instagram account (@banksy) or official website (banksy.co.uk). Authentication from third-party reporting, gallery attribution, or social media speculation will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
交易量
$2,929结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 3:43 PM ETBanksy’s established rhythm of releasing multiple authenticated street artworks annually, including confirmed London murals in September and December 2025 plus a May 2025 Marseille piece and an April 2026 statue installation, underpins the 76.5% market-implied odds for at least one new mural by year-end. Traders weigh the roughly three months remaining against his pattern of event-driven drops—often tied to holidays, political moments, or London appearances—along with reliable Instagram confirmations that have authenticated recent works. While no fresh 2026 murals have surfaced yet, the artist’s unpredictable but productive output and history of surprise interventions create strong consensus for another authenticated stencil or installation before December 31, though the anonymous nature leaves room for timing shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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