Recent polling shows Democrats regaining ground with young men on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2026 midterms, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the opposition party often performs strongly among this demographic. Trader pricing at 53% for Republicans versus 33% for Democrats appears to reflect the narrower Republican edge among young men established in 2024, alongside lower expected midterm turnout for this group and a widening gender gap in party identification. Key factors sustaining the close contest include undecided moderate and independent young men, economic priorities such as housing costs and inflation, and varying enthusiasm levels. Scheduled campaign events, economic indicators, and targeted outreach on these issues through November could widen separation in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
34%
共和党
55%
最新
最新
2026-11-06
民主党
$427 交易量
34%
共和党
$96 交易量
55%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats regaining ground with young men on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2026 midterms, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the opposition party often performs strongly among this demographic. Trader pricing at 53% for Republicans versus 33% for Democrats appears to reflect the narrower Republican edge among young men established in 2024, alongside lower expected midterm turnout for this group and a widening gender gap in party identification. Key factors sustaining the close contest include undecided moderate and independent young men, economic priorities such as housing costs and inflation, and varying enthusiasm levels. Scheduled campaign events, economic indicators, and targeted outreach on these issues through November could widen separation in either direction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
交易量
$523结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETThe 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Recent polling shows Democrats regaining ground with young men on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2026 midterms, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the opposition party often performs strongly among this demographic. Trader pricing at 53% for Republicans versus 33% for Democrats appears to reflect the narrower Republican edge among young men established in 2024, alongside lower expected midterm turnout for this group and a widening gender gap in party identification. Key factors sustaining the close contest include undecided moderate and independent young men, economic priorities such as housing costs and inflation, and varying enthusiasm levels. Scheduled campaign events, economic indicators, and targeted outreach on these issues through November could widen separation in either direction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available.
In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$523结束日期
2026-11-06市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 2:10 PM ETRecent polling shows Democrats regaining ground with young men on the generic congressional ballot ahead of the 2026 midterms, consistent with historical midterm patterns where the opposition party often performs strongly among this demographic. Trader pricing at 53% for Republicans versus 33% for Democrats appears to reflect the narrower Republican edge among young men established in 2024, alongside lower expected midterm turnout for this group and a widening gender gap in party identification. Key factors sustaining the close contest include undecided moderate and independent young men, economic priorities such as housing costs and inflation, and varying enthusiasm levels. Scheduled campaign events, economic indicators, and targeted outreach on these issues through November could widen separation in either direction.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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