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icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

icon for 哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?

$1,664,999 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,664,999 交易量

Polymarket

科威特

$76,142 交易量

10%

索马里兰

$117,089 交易量

9%

黎巴嫩

$77,035 交易量

8%

沙特阿拉伯

$349,247 交易量

8%

叙利亚

$164,512 交易量

7%

Jordan

$9,994 交易量

7%

Egypt

$7,414 交易量

6%

Qatar

$8,800 交易量

5%

阿曼

$182,170 交易量

5%

阿塞拜疆

$175,784 交易量

5%

Pakistan

$9,051 交易量

3%

Turkey

$487,763 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic signals have centered trader attention on Kuwait as a near-term candidate, following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s September 15 assessment that another signatory could emerge within four to six months amid shifting Kuwaiti regional calculations. Israel and Morocco simultaneously advanced existing ties through embassy upgrades, ambassador exchanges, and flight resumption by year-end. Saudi normalization remains stalled pending Palestinian statehood progress, despite U.S. conditioning of nuclear cooperation on Abraham Accords accession. Broader outreach targets Central Asian states, Azerbaijan, and others with prior Israel ties, while Lebanon and Sudan face internal hurdles. These developments frame the pre-2027 window as dependent on Gulf momentum versus entrenched Palestinian-linked conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,664,999
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic signals have centered trader attention on Kuwait as a near-term candidate, following Israeli Ambassador to the UAE Yossi Shelley’s September 15 assessment that another signatory could emerge within four to six months amid shifting Kuwaiti regional calculations. Israel and Morocco simultaneously advanced existing ties through embassy upgrades, ambassador exchanges, and flight resumption by year-end. Saudi normalization remains stalled pending Palestinian statehood progress, despite U.S. conditioning of nuclear cooperation on Abraham Accords accession. Broader outreach targets Central Asian states, Azerbaijan, and others with prior Israel ties, while Lebanon and Sudan face internal hurdles. These developments frame the pre-2027 window as dependent on Gulf momentum versus entrenched Palestinian-linked conditions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,664,999
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 2:42 PM ET

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常见问题

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 12 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"科威特",概率为 10%,其次是"索马里兰",概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 10¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 10%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 12 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"的当前领先者是"科威特",概率为 10%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 10%。紧随其后的结果是"索马里兰",概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪个国家将在2027年之前加入亚伯拉罕协议?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。