Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds an 87% implied probability in the Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of victories in a state that has repeatedly elected him despite Democratic strength in presidential contests. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, benefits from high name recognition, moderate positioning on issues such as taxes and federal policy, and historical margins that have widened in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her August 11 primary against a better-funded rival, trails at 10.7% amid her limited prior visibility and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent. Recent post-primary fundraising shows Janoo outraising Scott, yet trader consensus continues to price in Scott’s durable advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$66,964 交易量
$66,964 交易量
2026-11-02
菲尔·斯科特（共和党）
87%
阿曼达·贾努（民主党）
11%
$66,964 交易量
$66,964 交易量
2026-11-02
菲尔·斯科特（共和党）
$32,039 交易量
87%
阿曼达·贾努（民主党）
$34,925 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds an 87% implied probability in the Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of victories in a state that has repeatedly elected him despite Democratic strength in presidential contests. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, benefits from high name recognition, moderate positioning on issues such as taxes and federal policy, and historical margins that have widened in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her August 11 primary against a better-funded rival, trails at 10.7% amid her limited prior visibility and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent. Recent post-primary fundraising shows Janoo outraising Scott, yet trader consensus continues to price in Scott’s durable advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$66,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds an 87% implied probability in the Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of victories in a state that has repeatedly elected him despite Democratic strength in presidential contests. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, benefits from high name recognition, moderate positioning on issues such as taxes and federal policy, and historical margins that have widened in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her August 11 primary against a better-funded rival, trails at 10.7% amid her limited prior visibility and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent. Recent post-primary fundraising shows Janoo outraising Scott, yet trader consensus continues to price in Scott’s durable advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$66,964结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETIncumbent Republican Phil Scott holds an 87% implied probability in the Vermont gubernatorial race due to his long record of victories in a state that has repeatedly elected him despite Democratic strength in presidential contests. Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term, benefits from high name recognition, moderate positioning on issues such as taxes and federal policy, and historical margins that have widened in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, an economist who narrowly won her August 11 primary against a better-funded rival, trails at 10.7% amid her limited prior visibility and the structural challenges of unseating an entrenched incumbent. Recent post-primary fundraising shows Janoo outraising Scott, yet trader consensus continues to price in Scott’s durable advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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