Trevor Lawrence enters the 2026 regular season as the clear Jacksonville Jaguars starter following a career-best 2025 campaign of 29 passing touchdowns, 4,007 yards, and strong late-season efficiency under head coach Liam Coen. With a full offseason to master the system, Lawrence has shown greater command of progressions and play-calling, enabling a more aggressive downfield attack aimed at increasing explosive plays. Key supporting elements include continuity at wide receiver with Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington, and Jakobi Meyers, plus Travis Hunter’s versatility, though the backfield transition away from Travis Etienne and offensive line health represent variables. Projections from analysts cluster around 24–26 passing touchdowns for the 17-game slate, reflecting expectations of sustained volume in an offense that finished 13-4 last year but faces a tougher schedule and potential regression from his rushing contributions. Trader sentiment centers on whether improved scheme familiarity and receiver chemistry can offset roster adjustments to sustain or exceed prior touchdown rates.