Moonshot AI and Alibaba currently lead trader sentiment for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, with implied probabilities of 37.5% and 32.5% respectively, amid a tight field where OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit far lower. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series has posted strong results in frontend and agentic coding benchmarks since its July release, including prior leadership on Arena.ai’s WebDev tasks, while Alibaba’s recent Qwen3.8-Max-0902 post-training snapshot lifted its Code Arena score to the top in early September. These gains reflect targeted improvements in multi-step web app generation, long-context handling, and tool use that directly influence the community-voted Elo ratings. With roughly seven weeks until resolution, further model updates or snapshot refreshes from these labs or Western competitors could shift the ranking, though sustained performance on fullstack web development criteria will determine final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Moonshot 38%
Alibaba 33%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.3%
$36,452 交易量
$36,452 交易量
2026-10-31
Moonshot
38%
Alibaba
33%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
5%
SpaceXAI
12%
3%
Meta
3%
Z.ai
2%
Mistral
2%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
ByteDance
1%
Poolside
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot 38%
Alibaba 33%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.3%
$36,452 交易量
$36,452 交易量
2026-10-31
Moonshot
$10,967 交易量
38%
Alibaba
$17,438 交易量
33%
OpenAI
$884 交易量
6%
Anthropic
$604 交易量
5%
SpaceXAI
$659 交易量
12%
$482 交易量
3%
Meta
$496 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$656 交易量
2%
Mistral
$581 交易量
2%
Thinky
$586 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$580 交易量
1%
Tencent
$539 交易量
1%
ByteDance
$613 交易量
1%
Poolside
$492 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$573 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$302 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI and Alibaba currently lead trader sentiment for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, with implied probabilities of 37.5% and 32.5% respectively, amid a tight field where OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit far lower. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series has posted strong results in frontend and agentic coding benchmarks since its July release, including prior leadership on Arena.ai’s WebDev tasks, while Alibaba’s recent Qwen3.8-Max-0902 post-training snapshot lifted its Code Arena score to the top in early September. These gains reflect targeted improvements in multi-step web app generation, long-context handling, and tool use that directly influence the community-voted Elo ratings. With roughly seven weeks until resolution, further model updates or snapshot refreshes from these labs or Western competitors could shift the ranking, though sustained performance on fullstack web development criteria will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$36,452结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Moonshot AI and Alibaba currently lead trader sentiment for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, with implied probabilities of 37.5% and 32.5% respectively, amid a tight field where OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit far lower. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series has posted strong results in frontend and agentic coding benchmarks since its July release, including prior leadership on Arena.ai’s WebDev tasks, while Alibaba’s recent Qwen3.8-Max-0902 post-training snapshot lifted its Code Arena score to the top in early September. These gains reflect targeted improvements in multi-step web app generation, long-context handling, and tool use that directly influence the community-voted Elo ratings. With roughly seven weeks until resolution, further model updates or snapshot refreshes from these labs or Western competitors could shift the ranking, though sustained performance on fullstack web development criteria will determine final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$36,452结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETMoonshot AI and Alibaba currently lead trader sentiment for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, with implied probabilities of 37.5% and 32.5% respectively, amid a tight field where OpenAI, Anthropic, and others sit far lower. Moonshot’s Kimi K3 series has posted strong results in frontend and agentic coding benchmarks since its July release, including prior leadership on Arena.ai’s WebDev tasks, while Alibaba’s recent Qwen3.8-Max-0902 post-training snapshot lifted its Code Arena score to the top in early September. These gains reflect targeted improvements in multi-step web app generation, long-context handling, and tool use that directly influence the community-voted Elo ratings. With roughly seven weeks until resolution, further model updates or snapshot refreshes from these labs or Western competitors could shift the ranking, though sustained performance on fullstack web development criteria will determine final positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题