The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices near $97 per barrel. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and robust growth in technology and AI-related capital spending, have lifted analyst year-end targets to the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August employment data exceeded expectations, increasing market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift rate expectations and influence the index trajectory through December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$341,390 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
27%
↓ 6,200美元
10%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800
9%
↓ 5,200
6%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$341,390 交易量
↑ $10,000
$203 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,564 交易量
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 交易量
5%
↑ 8,600美元
$30,614 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,827 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 交易量
52%
↓ $7,000
$343 交易量
27%
↓ 6,200美元
$53,694 交易量
10%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 交易量
11%
↓ 5,800
$41,870 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$57,241 交易量
6%
↓ 4,500美元
$60,371 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices near $97 per barrel. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and robust growth in technology and AI-related capital spending, have lifted analyst year-end targets to the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August employment data exceeded expectations, increasing market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift rate expectations and influence the index trajectory through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$341,390结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices near $97 per barrel. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and robust growth in technology and AI-related capital spending, have lifted analyst year-end targets to the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August employment data exceeded expectations, increasing market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift rate expectations and influence the index trajectory through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$341,390结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe S&P 500 closed at 7,636 on September 9, 2026, after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,799 amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices near $97 per barrel. Strong second-quarter earnings, with 86% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates and robust growth in technology and AI-related capital spending, have lifted analyst year-end targets to the 7,950–8,100 range. Recent August employment data exceeded expectations, increasing market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, while inflation remains above the 2% target. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CPI and PPI releases, which could shift rate expectations and influence the index trajectory through December.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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