Recent oil prices surging above $100 per barrel amid the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified inflation concerns and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since 2023, weighing on S&P 500 sentiment near 7,636 as of September 9. The index remains up roughly 11-12% year-to-date and about 2% below its August 13 record close of 7,799, supported by strong corporate earnings—particularly AI-driven capex and tech results that have exceeded estimates. Traders are closely watching the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where elevated rate-hike odds could further influence the path to year-end levels amid resilient GDP growth and broadening but still-concentrated market leadership.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$343,922 交易量
2026-12-31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300美元
4%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ 8,600美元
9%
↑ 8,200美元
27%
↑ $8,000
47%
↓ $7,400
73%
↓ $7,200
52%
↓ $7,000
28%
↓ 6,200美元
11%
↓ $6,000
11%
↓ 5,800
9%
↓ 5,200
7%
↓ 4,500美元
3%
$343,922 交易量
↑ $10,000
$203 交易量
3%
↑ 9,300美元
$9,564 交易量
4%
↑ $9,000
$78 交易量
5%
↑ 8,600美元
$30,614 交易量
9%
↑ 8,200美元
$23,827 交易量
27%
↑ $8,000
$559 交易量
47%
↓ $7,400
$0 交易量
73%
↓ $7,200
$5 交易量
52%
↓ $7,000
$543 交易量
28%
↓ 6,200美元
$53,859 交易量
11%
↓ $6,000
$2,970 交易量
11%
↓ 5,800
$41,870 交易量
9%
↓ 5,200
$59,409 交易量
7%
↓ 4,500美元
$60,371 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent oil prices surging above $100 per barrel amid the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified inflation concerns and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since 2023, weighing on S&P 500 sentiment near 7,636 as of September 9. The index remains up roughly 11-12% year-to-date and about 2% below its August 13 record close of 7,799, supported by strong corporate earnings—particularly AI-driven capex and tech results that have exceeded estimates. Traders are closely watching the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where elevated rate-hike odds could further influence the path to year-end levels amid resilient GDP growth and broadening but still-concentrated market leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
交易量
$343,922结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent oil prices surging above $100 per barrel amid the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified inflation concerns and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since 2023, weighing on S&P 500 sentiment near 7,636 as of September 9. The index remains up roughly 11-12% year-to-date and about 2% below its August 13 record close of 7,799, supported by strong corporate earnings—particularly AI-driven capex and tech results that have exceeded estimates. Traders are closely watching the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where elevated rate-hike odds could further influence the path to year-end levels amid resilient GDP growth and broadening but still-concentrated market leadership.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$343,922结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETRecent oil prices surging above $100 per barrel amid the ongoing Iran conflict have intensified inflation concerns and pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since 2023, weighing on S&P 500 sentiment near 7,636 as of September 9. The index remains up roughly 11-12% year-to-date and about 2% below its August 13 record close of 7,799, supported by strong corporate earnings—particularly AI-driven capex and tech results that have exceeded estimates. Traders are closely watching the August CPI release on September 11 and the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, where elevated rate-hike odds could further influence the path to year-end levels amid resilient GDP growth and broadening but still-concentrated market leadership.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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