Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh holds the leading position in the Plateau State 2027 gubernatorial contest at 77.5% implied probability following his May 2026 APC primary victory by a wide margin of 233,335 votes to 3,070 and his earlier December 2025 defection from the PDP to align with the federal ruling structure. This consolidation of state party machinery, including recent leadership consensus and membership efforts, has reinforced trader assessments of his path to the February 6, 2027 ballot. Opposition candidates face fragmentation, with PDP factions producing competing claims resolved only recently by INEC listing Kefas Wungak Ropshik at 14.4%, alongside lower probabilities for Sunday Garba Biggs, John Sunday Sura of the ADC, Margaret Inusa Yahaya, and others amid internal disputes that limit unified organizational strength ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于穆特旺·卡莱布·马纳塞 78%
玛格丽特·伊努萨·亚哈亚 2.1%
约翰·桑得·苏拉 1.0%
Sunday Garba Biggs <1%
$11,650 交易量
$11,650 交易量
2027-10-31
穆特旺·卡莱布·马纳塞
78%
玛格丽特·伊努萨·亚哈亚
2%
约翰·桑得·苏拉
1%
Sunday Garba Biggs
1%
凯法斯·罗普希克
34%
穆特旺·卡莱布·马纳塞 78%
玛格丽特·伊努萨·亚哈亚 2.1%
约翰·桑得·苏拉 1.0%
Sunday Garba Biggs <1%
$11,650 交易量
$11,650 交易量
2027-10-31
穆特旺·卡莱布·马纳塞
$8,231 交易量
78%
玛格丽特·伊努萨·亚哈亚
$140 交易量
2%
约翰·桑得·苏拉
$220 交易量
1%
Sunday Garba Biggs
$2,729 交易量
1%
凯法斯·罗普希克
$331 交易量
34%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh holds the leading position in the Plateau State 2027 gubernatorial contest at 77.5% implied probability following his May 2026 APC primary victory by a wide margin of 233,335 votes to 3,070 and his earlier December 2025 defection from the PDP to align with the federal ruling structure. This consolidation of state party machinery, including recent leadership consensus and membership efforts, has reinforced trader assessments of his path to the February 6, 2027 ballot. Opposition candidates face fragmentation, with PDP factions producing competing claims resolved only recently by INEC listing Kefas Wungak Ropshik at 14.4%, alongside lower probabilities for Sunday Garba Biggs, John Sunday Sura of the ADC, Margaret Inusa Yahaya, and others amid internal disputes that limit unified organizational strength ahead of the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
交易量
$11,650结束日期
2027-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh holds the leading position in the Plateau State 2027 gubernatorial contest at 77.5% implied probability following his May 2026 APC primary victory by a wide margin of 233,335 votes to 3,070 and his earlier December 2025 defection from the PDP to align with the federal ruling structure. This consolidation of state party machinery, including recent leadership consensus and membership efforts, has reinforced trader assessments of his path to the February 6, 2027 ballot. Opposition candidates face fragmentation, with PDP factions producing competing claims resolved only recently by INEC listing Kefas Wungak Ropshik at 14.4%, alongside lower probabilities for Sunday Garba Biggs, John Sunday Sura of the ADC, Margaret Inusa Yahaya, and others amid internal disputes that limit unified organizational strength ahead of the vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$11,650结束日期
2027-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 5:02 PM ETMutfwang Caleb Manasseh holds the leading position in the Plateau State 2027 gubernatorial contest at 77.5% implied probability following his May 2026 APC primary victory by a wide margin of 233,335 votes to 3,070 and his earlier December 2025 defection from the PDP to align with the federal ruling structure. This consolidation of state party machinery, including recent leadership consensus and membership efforts, has reinforced trader assessments of his path to the February 6, 2027 ballot. Opposition candidates face fragmentation, with PDP factions producing competing claims resolved only recently by INEC listing Kefas Wungak Ropshik at 14.4%, alongside lower probabilities for Sunday Garba Biggs, John Sunday Sura of the ADC, Margaret Inusa Yahaya, and others amid internal disputes that limit unified organizational strength ahead of the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题