Umaru Dikko Radda holds a strong lead in trader pricing due to his position as incumbent APC governor of Katsina State and recent party consolidation ahead of the 2027 governorship election. The APC affirmed him as its consensus candidate through delegate voice votes in May and September 2026, with no challengers emerging after internal reconciliation efforts. Multiple endorsements from state assembly members, senators, traders, non-indigenes, and over 4,000 coalition groups have reinforced perceptions of party unity and grassroots organization. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus candidate selected in May 2026, trails as the primary opposition option in a state where the APC has maintained dominance. Other aspirants from parties such as the ADC remain at lower implied probabilities pending further primary outcomes or campaign developments before the February 2027 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,333 交易量
$15,333 交易量
2027-10-31
乌马鲁·迪科·拉达
80%
加尔巴·雅库布·拉多
14%
$15,333 交易量
$15,333 交易量
2027-10-31
乌马鲁·迪科·拉达
$7,215 交易量
80%
加尔巴·雅库布·拉多
$8,119 交易量
14%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds a strong lead in trader pricing due to his position as incumbent APC governor of Katsina State and recent party consolidation ahead of the 2027 governorship election. The APC affirmed him as its consensus candidate through delegate voice votes in May and September 2026, with no challengers emerging after internal reconciliation efforts. Multiple endorsements from state assembly members, senators, traders, non-indigenes, and over 4,000 coalition groups have reinforced perceptions of party unity and grassroots organization. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus candidate selected in May 2026, trails as the primary opposition option in a state where the APC has maintained dominance. Other aspirants from parties such as the ADC remain at lower implied probabilities pending further primary outcomes or campaign developments before the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
交易量
$15,333结束日期
2027-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Umaru Dikko Radda holds a strong lead in trader pricing due to his position as incumbent APC governor of Katsina State and recent party consolidation ahead of the 2027 governorship election. The APC affirmed him as its consensus candidate through delegate voice votes in May and September 2026, with no challengers emerging after internal reconciliation efforts. Multiple endorsements from state assembly members, senators, traders, non-indigenes, and over 4,000 coalition groups have reinforced perceptions of party unity and grassroots organization. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus candidate selected in May 2026, trails as the primary opposition option in a state where the APC has maintained dominance. Other aspirants from parties such as the ADC remain at lower implied probabilities pending further primary outcomes or campaign developments before the February 2027 vote.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Katsina State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
交易量
$15,333结束日期
2027-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ETUmaru Dikko Radda holds a strong lead in trader pricing due to his position as incumbent APC governor of Katsina State and recent party consolidation ahead of the 2027 governorship election. The APC affirmed him as its consensus candidate through delegate voice votes in May and September 2026, with no challengers emerging after internal reconciliation efforts. Multiple endorsements from state assembly members, senators, traders, non-indigenes, and over 4,000 coalition groups have reinforced perceptions of party unity and grassroots organization. Garba Yakubu Lado, the PDP consensus candidate selected in May 2026, trails as the primary opposition option in a state where the APC has maintained dominance. Other aspirants from parties such as the ADC remain at lower implied probabilities pending further primary outcomes or campaign developments before the February 2027 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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